Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Acmepoint Energy Services Co.,LTD (6692.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.84 - $22.41$19.08
Multi-Stage$23.06 - $25.34$24.18
Blended Fair Value$21.63
Current Price$37.50
Upside-42.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-14.47%0.00%0.180.690.651.131.120.390.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---73.93%5.76%-42.24%0.52%185.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.46%2.53%1.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)140.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)130.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.1217.5810.55
Cash Retained (M)130.24130.24130.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.12-17.58-10.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)102.11112.66119.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.7757.7757.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.771.952.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.771.952.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.952.132.25
WACC / Discount Rate10.05%10.05%10.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.84$19.08$22.41
Upside / Downside-57.76%-49.11%-40.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)140.62139.22137.82136.45135.08133.73137.74
Payout Ratio7.39%23.91%40.43%56.95%73.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.3933.2955.7377.7199.25120.36127.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.05%10.05%10.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.9430.2530.55
Year 2 PV (M)45.0946.0146.95
Year 3 PV (M)56.5658.3160.10
Year 4 PV (M)64.9867.6770.45
Year 5 PV (M)70.8874.5778.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,064.611,120.051,177.77
Equity Value (M)1,332.061,396.861,464.23
Shares Outstanding (M)57.7757.7757.77
Fair Value$23.06$24.18$25.34
Upside / Downside-38.52%-35.52%-32.41%

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