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Definitive Analysis

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FURYU Corporation (6238.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,491.82 - $13,773.21$4,796.89
Multi-Stage$1,821.36 - $1,995.57$1,906.85
Blended Fair Value$3,351.87
Current Price$1,103.00
Upside203.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.97%16.71%38.9437.9453.7337.2041.3332.0632.0632.0626.718.71
YoY Growth--2.63%-29.38%44.44%-10.00%28.93%0.00%0.00%20.00%206.72%4.91%
Dividend Yield--3.85%3.61%4.08%3.30%2.94%3.10%2.77%3.37%1.97%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,853.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)515.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,338.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)370.70231.69139.01
Cash Retained (M)1,338.091,338.091,338.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-370.70-231.69-139.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)967.381,106.401,199.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.4826.4826.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share36.5341.7845.28
LTM Dividend per Share19.4619.4619.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share36.5341.7845.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.0061.2564.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate4.36%5.36%6.36%
Fair Value$2,491.82$4,796.89$13,773.21
Upside / Downside125.91%334.89%1,148.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,853.511,952.882,057.592,167.912,284.152,406.622,478.82
Payout Ratio27.81%40.25%52.68%65.12%77.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)515.42785.961,084.041,411.811,771.622,165.962,292.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate4.36%5.36%6.36%
Year 1 PV (M)729.57736.56743.55
Year 2 PV (M)934.06952.05970.20
Year 3 PV (M)1,129.211,161.981,195.38
Year 4 PV (M)1,315.331,366.471,419.09
Year 5 PV (M)1,492.721,565.621,641.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,628.4644,710.3246,872.74
Equity Value (M)48,229.3550,493.0152,842.31
Shares Outstanding (M)26.4826.4826.48
Fair Value$1,821.36$1,906.85$1,995.57
Upside / Downside65.13%72.88%80.92%

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