Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Aker Technology Co., Ltd (6174.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.48 - $133.78$125.28
Multi-Stage$66.41 - $73.40$69.84
Blended Fair Value$97.56
Current Price$19.50
Upside400.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-32.51%0.00%0.142.691.600.000.001.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---94.81%68.75%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.63%11.94%5.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.254.532.72
Cash Retained (M)29.2429.2429.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.25-4.53-2.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.0024.7126.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.1250.1250.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate-0.63%-0.63%-0.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$41.48$125.28$133.78
Upside / Downside112.73%542.46%586.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.2435.8835.5235.1734.8234.4735.50
Payout Ratio19.31%33.45%47.59%61.73%75.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.0012.0016.9021.7126.4131.0232.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.63%-0.63%-0.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.9612.0812.20
Year 2 PV (M)16.7817.1217.47
Year 3 PV (M)21.4622.1322.80
Year 4 PV (M)26.0127.0928.20
Year 5 PV (M)30.4432.0233.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,222.123,389.913,564.61
Equity Value (M)3,328.773,500.353,678.95
Shares Outstanding (M)50.1250.1250.12
Fair Value$66.41$69.84$73.40
Upside / Downside240.58%258.14%276.41%

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