Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Aichi Steel Corporation (5482.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,151.25 - $7,258.79$5,477.32
Multi-Stage$7,587.14 - $8,343.04$7,957.79
Blended Fair Value$6,717.55
Current Price$2,137.00
Upside214.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.68%2.68%79.4836.6612.2739.6942.7973.1379.2960.9861.0461.01
YoY Growth--116.82%198.74%-69.09%-7.24%-41.48%-7.78%30.03%-0.10%0.05%0.05%
Dividend Yield--3.72%4.12%1.61%7.62%5.61%9.56%9.71%5.72%5.51%5.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,267.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,108.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,159.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,053.401,283.38770.03
Cash Retained (M)7,159.007,159.007,159.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,053.40-1,283.38-770.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,105.605,875.636,388.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.2732.2732.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share158.20182.06197.97
LTM Dividend per Share96.3196.3196.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share158.20182.06197.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend254.51278.37294.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.20%1.20%2.20%
Fair Value$4,151.25$5,477.32$7,258.79
Upside / Downside94.26%156.31%239.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,267.0010,390.6810,515.8610,642.5410,770.7510,900.5011,227.51
Payout Ratio30.27%42.22%54.16%66.11%78.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,108.004,386.685,695.717,035.648,407.049,810.4510,385.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.20%1.20%2.20%
Year 1 PV (M)4,084.074,124.834,165.58
Year 2 PV (M)4,937.005,036.035,136.04
Year 3 PV (M)5,677.765,849.446,024.56
Year 4 PV (M)6,316.466,572.406,836.04
Year 5 PV (M)6,862.427,211.747,575.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)216,977.13228,022.09239,512.32
Equity Value (M)244,854.83256,816.53269,249.69
Shares Outstanding (M)32.2732.2732.27
Fair Value$7,587.14$7,957.79$8,343.04
Upside / Downside255.04%272.38%290.41%

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