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Definitive Analysis

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Solomon Data International Corporation (5432.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.29 - $13.16$11.20
Multi-Stage$15.03 - $16.44$15.72
Blended Fair Value$13.46
Current Price$124.50
Upside-89.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS14.87%0.00%0.990.990.000.000.000.500.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%0.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.903.692.21
Cash Retained (M)8.828.828.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.90-3.69-2.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.925.136.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.250.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.250.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.241.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.29$11.20$13.16
Upside / Downside-92.54%-91.00%-89.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29.5129.2228.9228.6328.3528.0628.91
Payout Ratio70.10%74.08%78.06%82.04%86.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.6921.6422.5823.4924.3925.2626.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)19.4819.6819.88
Year 2 PV (M)18.3018.6719.05
Year 3 PV (M)17.1417.6718.21
Year 4 PV (M)16.0116.6817.36
Year 5 PV (M)14.9315.7116.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)227.07238.89251.20
Equity Value (M)312.93327.30342.23
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
Fair Value$15.03$15.72$16.44
Upside / Downside-87.92%-87.37%-86.79%

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