Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hua Jung Components Co.,Ltd. (5328.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.26 - $6.54$5.32
Multi-Stage$9.53 - $10.47$9.99
Blended Fair Value$7.66
Current Price$16.95
Upside-54.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.350.000.150.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.49%0.00%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)82.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.4810.306.18
Cash Retained (M)21.9621.9621.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.48-10.30-6.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.4811.6615.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)174.72174.72174.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.26$5.32$6.54
Upside / Downside-74.85%-68.59%-61.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)82.4181.5980.7779.9679.1678.3780.72
Payout Ratio73.35%76.68%80.01%83.34%86.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.4562.5664.6266.6468.6170.5374.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)58.0558.6559.24
Year 2 PV (M)55.6556.7957.94
Year 3 PV (M)53.2554.9056.58
Year 4 PV (M)50.8752.9855.16
Year 5 PV (M)48.5351.0653.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,398.001,470.791,546.59
Equity Value (M)1,664.361,745.171,829.20
Shares Outstanding (M)174.72174.72174.72
Fair Value$9.53$9.99$10.47
Upside / Downside-43.80%-41.07%-38.23%

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