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Definitive Analysis

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Ecopro HN Co., Ltd. (383310.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,400.84 - $11,286.00$9,220.63
Multi-Stage$15,636.54 - $17,210.02$16,407.83
Blended Fair Value$12,814.23
Current Price$22,500.00
Upside-43.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%461.20460.98254.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.05%80.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.81%0.58%0.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,542.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,280.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,262.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,308.502,067.811,240.69
Cash Retained (M)10,262.4710,262.4710,262.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,308.50-2,067.81-1,240.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,953.978,194.669,021.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.8319.8319.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share350.69413.26454.97
LTM Dividend per Share316.70316.70316.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share350.69413.26454.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend667.39729.96771.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7,400.84$9,220.63$11,286.00
Upside / Downside-67.11%-59.02%-49.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,542.5116,377.0816,213.3116,051.1815,890.6615,731.7616,203.71
Payout Ratio37.96%48.37%58.78%69.19%79.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,280.037,921.669,529.8311,105.0412,647.7914,158.5814,988.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7,339.797,414.697,489.58
Year 2 PV (M)8,181.268,349.078,518.59
Year 3 PV (M)8,833.299,106.479,385.22
Year 4 PV (M)9,321.489,707.8110,106.03
Year 5 PV (M)9,668.4610,171.9210,696.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)266,720.38280,609.12295,070.52
Equity Value (M)310,064.67325,359.09341,266.09
Shares Outstanding (M)19.8319.8319.83
Fair Value$15,636.54$16,407.83$17,210.02
Upside / Downside-30.50%-27.08%-23.51%

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