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Definitive Analysis

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NEXON Co., Ltd. (3659.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23,349.16 - $27,509.27$25,780.21
Multi-Stage$17,250.87 - $18,934.07$18,076.75
Blended Fair Value$21,928.48
Current Price$3,247.00
Upside575.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%8.94%12.5810.4810.735.435.400.000.000.005.325.26
YoY Growth--20.00%-2.34%97.82%0.54%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-99.98%1.23%-1.55%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.42%0.34%0.19%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.60%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113,224.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,979.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)89,245.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22,644.8014,153.008,491.80
Cash Retained (M)89,245.0089,245.0089,245.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-22,644.80-14,153.00-8,491.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)66,600.2075,092.0080,753.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)818.54818.54818.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share81.3691.7498.66
LTM Dividend per Share29.2929.2929.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share81.3691.7498.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend110.66121.03127.95
WACC / Discount Rate0.57%0.57%0.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23,349.16$25,780.21$27,509.27
Upside / Downside619.10%693.97%747.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113,224.00120,583.56128,421.49136,768.89145,658.87155,126.69159,780.49
Payout Ratio21.18%34.94%48.71%62.47%76.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,979.0042,135.1562,550.2985,441.37111,044.02139,614.02147,796.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.57%0.57%0.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41,502.3641,895.7542,289.14
Year 2 PV (M)60,685.6361,841.5263,008.31
Year 3 PV (M)81,649.4083,993.2786,381.56
Year 4 PV (M)104,522.13108,541.76112,676.22
Year 5 PV (M)129,440.57135,692.60142,183.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,702,722.4214,364,569.0415,051,746.08
Equity Value (M)14,120,522.5214,796,533.9315,498,285.22
Shares Outstanding (M)818.54818.54818.54
Fair Value$17,250.87$18,076.75$18,934.07
Upside / Downside431.29%456.72%483.13%

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