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Definitive Analysis

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Wacoal Holdings Corp. (3591.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,439.94 - $4,100.82$3,167.85
Multi-Stage$4,852.45 - $5,334.29$5,088.71
Blended Fair Value$4,128.28
Current Price$5,636.00
Upside-26.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.17%1.63%105.4799.7981.9148.2348.1994.7392.88142.5989.7381.57
YoY Growth--5.69%21.82%69.86%0.08%-49.13%2.00%-34.86%58.91%10.01%-9.10%
Dividend Yield--2.12%2.20%2.83%2.25%1.92%4.75%3.27%4.41%2.95%4.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,634.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,293.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,341.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,126.801,329.25797.55
Cash Retained (M)5,341.005,341.005,341.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,126.80-1,329.25-797.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,214.204,011.754,543.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.8051.8051.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share62.0577.4587.71
LTM Dividend per Share102.18102.18102.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share62.0577.4587.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend164.24179.63189.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-0.37%0.63%1.63%
Fair Value$2,439.94$3,167.85$4,100.82
Upside / Downside-56.71%-43.79%-27.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,634.0010,700.8610,768.1410,835.8410,903.9710,972.5311,301.70
Payout Ratio49.77%57.82%65.86%73.91%81.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,293.006,187.187,092.398,008.748,936.339,875.2710,454.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-0.37%0.63%1.63%
Year 1 PV (M)5,760.765,818.585,876.40
Year 2 PV (M)6,148.466,272.516,397.79
Year 3 PV (M)6,464.356,660.966,861.52
Year 4 PV (M)6,715.946,989.677,271.68
Year 5 PV (M)6,910.097,263.917,632.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)219,351.30230,582.96242,270.05
Equity Value (M)251,350.90263,588.58276,309.53
Shares Outstanding (M)51.8051.8051.80
Fair Value$4,852.45$5,088.71$5,334.29
Upside / Downside-13.90%-9.71%-5.35%

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