Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Nanjing Comptech Composites Corp (301591.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.54 - $162.09$50.76
Multi-Stage$75.17 - $82.90$78.96
Blended Fair Value$64.86
Current Price$42.21
Upside53.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS1.87%0.00%0.310.000.050.580.230.290.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-91.33%157.00%-21.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.83%0.00%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)44.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.388.995.39
Cash Retained (M)44.9844.9844.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.38-8.99-5.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.6035.9939.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.5983.5983.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.430.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.430.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.750.80
WACC / Discount Rate2.37%2.37%2.37%
Growth Rate-0.13%0.87%1.87%
Fair Value$27.54$50.76$162.09
Upside / Downside-34.77%20.25%284.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71.9072.5273.1573.7974.4375.0877.33
Payout Ratio37.44%47.95%58.46%68.98%79.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.9234.7842.7750.9059.1667.5771.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.37%2.37%2.37%
Growth Rate-0.13%0.87%1.87%
Year 1 PV (M)33.6433.9734.31
Year 2 PV (M)40.0140.8141.63
Year 3 PV (M)46.0547.4548.87
Year 4 PV (M)51.7853.8856.05
Year 5 PV (M)57.1960.1263.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,054.686,363.946,685.71
Equity Value (M)6,283.356,600.176,929.73
Shares Outstanding (M)83.5983.5983.59
Fair Value$75.17$78.96$82.90
Upside / Downside78.08%87.06%96.40%

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