Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HG Technologies Co., Ltd. (300847.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.39 - $15.69$10.49
Multi-Stage$5.51 - $6.02$5.76
Blended Fair Value$8.13
Current Price$17.61
Upside-53.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.27%12.13%0.100.110.080.060.000.040.030.060.050.04
YoY Growth---9.91%48.00%20.55%0.00%-100.00%33.29%-45.42%15.22%46.32%10.69%
Dividend Yield--0.60%0.72%0.50%0.47%0.00%0.66%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)114.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)74.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.9914.378.62
Cash Retained (M)74.7174.7174.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.99-14.37-8.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.7160.3466.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)292.43292.43292.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.39$10.49$15.69
Upside / Downside-58.06%-40.43%-10.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)114.96122.44130.39138.87147.90157.51162.23
Payout Ratio35.02%46.01%57.01%68.01%79.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.2656.3474.3494.44116.84141.76150.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)50.7451.2251.70
Year 2 PV (M)60.3061.4562.60
Year 3 PV (M)68.9970.9772.99
Year 4 PV (M)76.8779.8382.87
Year 5 PV (M)83.9988.0592.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,271.671,333.091,396.86
Equity Value (M)1,612.561,684.601,759.29
Shares Outstanding (M)292.43292.43292.43
Fair Value$5.51$5.76$6.02
Upside / Downside-68.69%-67.29%-65.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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