Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Konfoong Materials International Co., Ltd (300666.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.48 - $256.50$103.16
Multi-Stage$36.66 - $40.08$38.34
Blended Fair Value$70.75
Current Price$101.90
Upside-30.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.20%25.78%0.380.210.090.120.050.050.040.030.030.05
YoY Growth--83.29%140.34%-25.42%132.52%3.45%9.43%46.73%-11.09%-25.71%18.22%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.45%0.12%0.21%0.12%0.10%0.09%0.04%0.50%0.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)514.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)134.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)379.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.9064.3138.59
Cash Retained (M)379.86379.86379.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.90-64.31-38.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)276.97315.55341.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)265.32265.32265.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.041.191.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.041.191.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.551.701.79
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$59.48$103.16$256.50
Upside / Downside-41.63%1.23%151.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)514.49547.94583.55621.48661.88704.90726.05
Payout Ratio26.17%38.93%51.70%64.47%77.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)134.63213.33301.70400.65511.19634.41671.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)195.22197.07198.92
Year 2 PV (M)252.64257.46262.31
Year 3 PV (M)307.02315.84324.82
Year 4 PV (M)358.47372.26386.44
Year 5 PV (M)407.11426.77447.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,206.248,602.619,014.14
Equity Value (M)9,726.7110,172.0010,633.82
Shares Outstanding (M)265.32265.32265.32
Fair Value$36.66$38.34$40.08
Upside / Downside-64.02%-62.38%-60.67%

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