Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Shenzhen Liande Automation Equipment co.,ltd. (300545.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$131.56 - $155.01$145.26
Multi-Stage$88.79 - $97.44$93.03
Blended Fair Value$119.15
Current Price$32.11
Upside271.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.30%94.73%0.220.190.100.190.180.160.150.080.000.08
YoY Growth--17.45%83.57%-45.40%7.30%12.60%5.35%80.94%0.00%-100.00%28,471.43%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.66%0.48%1.05%0.79%0.58%0.48%0.26%0.00%0.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)99.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9218.0710.84
Cash Retained (M)99.9299.9299.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.92-18.07-10.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)71.0181.8589.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)185.49185.49185.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate2.46%2.46%2.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$131.56$145.26$155.01
Upside / Downside309.73%352.39%382.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.58153.97163.98174.64185.99198.08204.02
Payout Ratio30.89%42.71%54.53%66.35%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.6565.7689.42115.88145.40178.27188.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.46%2.46%2.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)63.5864.1864.78
Year 2 PV (M)83.5885.1786.78
Year 3 PV (M)104.72107.72110.78
Year 4 PV (M)127.03131.92136.94
Year 5 PV (M)150.58157.85165.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,940.1316,710.0417,509.42
Equity Value (M)16,469.6017,256.8818,074.11
Shares Outstanding (M)185.49185.49185.49
Fair Value$88.79$93.03$97.44
Upside / Downside176.51%189.73%203.45%

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