Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Synthesis Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd. (300479.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.37 - $0.47$0.42
Multi-Stage$0.67 - $0.75$0.71
Blended Fair Value$0.57
Current Price$20.12
Upside-97.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.90%-10.68%0.010.010.020.040.060.050.050.060.120.05
YoY Growth--2.27%-20.24%-62.51%-24.96%4.10%2.37%-2.80%-54.65%140.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--0.06%0.07%0.07%0.16%0.54%0.37%0.30%0.25%0.48%0.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.662.911.75
Cash Retained (M)21.5521.5521.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.66-2.91-1.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.8918.6419.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)197.06197.06197.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-12.68%-11.68%-10.68%
Fair Value$0.37$0.42$0.47
Upside / Downside-98.18%-97.90%-97.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.2820.5618.1616.0414.1712.5112.89
Payout Ratio7.45%23.96%40.47%56.98%73.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.744.937.359.1410.4111.2611.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-12.68%-11.68%-10.68%
Year 1 PV (M)4.434.484.53
Year 2 PV (M)5.956.096.22
Year 3 PV (M)6.666.897.12
Year 4 PV (M)6.827.147.47
Year 5 PV (M)6.647.037.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)101.89107.86114.11
Equity Value (M)132.39139.48146.89
Shares Outstanding (M)197.06197.06197.06
Fair Value$0.67$0.71$0.75
Upside / Downside-96.66%-96.48%-96.30%

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