Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited (300442.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.59 - $156.01$94.87
Multi-Stage$43.69 - $47.77$45.69
Blended Fair Value$70.28
Current Price$53.35
Upside31.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.07%126.83%0.840.670.750.200.000.220.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--25.74%-10.33%281.57%12,362.95%-99.28%21,032.27%18.07%-77.82%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%2.17%1.98%0.85%0.01%2.40%0.01%0.01%0.02%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,980.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)404.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,576.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)996.07622.55373.53
Cash Retained (M)4,576.084,576.084,576.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-996.07-622.55-373.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,580.013,953.534,202.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,717.811,717.811,717.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.302.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.302.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.322.542.68
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63.59$94.87$156.01
Upside / Downside19.20%77.82%192.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,980.365,304.085,648.856,016.026,407.076,823.537,028.23
Payout Ratio8.12%24.49%40.87%57.25%73.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)404.281,299.182,308.713,443.994,717.116,141.176,501.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,176.961,188.121,199.28
Year 2 PV (M)1,894.761,930.851,967.28
Year 3 PV (M)2,560.592,634.092,708.99
Year 4 PV (M)3,177.213,299.393,425.07
Year 5 PV (M)3,747.263,928.254,116.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,491.3465,509.7068,643.57
Equity Value (M)75,048.1278,490.4182,060.36
Shares Outstanding (M)1,717.811,717.811,717.81
Fair Value$43.69$45.69$47.77
Upside / Downside-18.11%-14.35%-10.46%

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