Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hangzhou Shunwang Technology Co,Ltd (300113.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.84 - $5.53$4.66
Multi-Stage$5.54 - $6.08$5.81
Blended Fair Value$5.24
Current Price$25.39
Upside-79.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.82%0.75%0.080.070.070.080.190.160.210.120.110.04
YoY Growth--14.29%-1.62%-11.87%-57.34%19.14%-22.34%68.40%8.31%162.07%-42.37%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.57%0.46%0.63%1.50%0.75%1.16%0.54%0.44%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)363.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)302.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)72.6945.4327.26
Cash Retained (M)302.80302.80302.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-72.69-45.43-27.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)230.10257.36275.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)672.26672.26672.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.380.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.380.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.50
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate-1.25%-0.25%0.75%
Fair Value$3.84$4.66$5.53
Upside / Downside-84.87%-81.63%-78.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)363.47362.56361.65360.74359.84358.93369.70
Payout Ratio16.69%31.35%46.02%60.68%75.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.67113.68166.42218.89271.10323.04341.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate-1.25%-0.25%0.75%
Year 1 PV (M)102.43103.47104.51
Year 2 PV (M)135.12137.87140.64
Year 3 PV (M)160.14165.05170.06
Year 4 PV (M)178.71186.06193.63
Year 5 PV (M)191.88201.79212.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,957.743,110.573,269.64
Equity Value (M)3,726.013,904.804,090.60
Shares Outstanding (M)672.26672.26672.26
Fair Value$5.54$5.81$6.08
Upside / Downside-78.17%-77.12%-76.03%

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