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Definitive Analysis

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East Money Information Co.,Ltd. (300059.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.49 - $159.47$149.44
Multi-Stage$20.80 - $22.78$21.77
Blended Fair Value$85.61
Current Price$27.12
Upside215.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS37.68%62.04%0.110.110.110.070.030.020.020.020.010.00
YoY Growth---3.02%0.10%53.48%116.84%53.13%-9.89%43.12%16.12%212.04%440.00%
Dividend Yield--0.47%0.84%0.66%0.41%0.21%0.28%0.29%0.29%0.34%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,665.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,727.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,938.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,533.121,583.20949.92
Cash Retained (M)10,938.4910,938.4910,938.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,533.12-1,583.20-949.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,405.379,355.299,988.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15,795.5115,795.5115,795.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.590.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.590.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.49$149.44$159.47
Upside / Downside82.47%451.05%488.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,665.6013,488.8614,365.6415,299.4016,293.8617,352.9717,873.55
Payout Ratio13.64%28.91%44.18%59.45%74.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,727.113,899.496,346.999,096.1812,175.9615,617.6716,533.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,614.643,648.903,683.16
Year 2 PV (M)5,453.585,557.455,662.31
Year 3 PV (M)7,244.867,452.837,664.75
Year 4 PV (M)8,989.409,335.119,690.69
Year 5 PV (M)10,688.1111,204.3511,740.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)292,550.13306,680.41321,351.49
Equity Value (M)328,540.72343,879.05359,792.75
Shares Outstanding (M)15,795.5115,795.5115,795.51
Fair Value$20.80$21.77$22.78
Upside / Downside-23.31%-19.72%-16.01%

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