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Definitive Analysis

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Finger, Inc. (163730.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,185.23 - $3,140.53$2,651.89
Multi-Stage$3,488.25 - $3,832.58$3,657.08
Blended Fair Value$3,154.48
Current Price$11,860.00
Upside-73.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%87.3698.1599.420.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---10.99%-1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.07%1.07%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,890.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)657.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,233.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)578.18361.37216.82
Cash Retained (M)2,233.592,233.592,233.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-578.18-361.37-216.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,655.411,872.232,016.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.299.299.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share178.29201.64217.21
LTM Dividend per Share70.7970.7970.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share178.29201.64217.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend249.08272.43288.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,185.23$2,651.89$3,140.53
Upside / Downside-81.57%-77.64%-73.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,890.922,862.012,833.392,805.062,777.012,749.242,831.71
Payout Ratio22.74%36.19%49.64%63.10%76.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)657.331,035.771,406.571,769.852,125.732,474.312,619.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)939.18948.76958.34
Year 2 PV (M)1,156.471,180.191,204.15
Year 3 PV (M)1,319.461,360.261,401.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,436.981,496.541,557.93
Year 5 PV (M)1,516.651,595.621,677.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,019.9827,374.9028,785.69
Equity Value (M)32,388.7133,956.2835,585.87
Shares Outstanding (M)9.299.299.29
Fair Value$3,488.25$3,657.08$3,832.58
Upside / Downside-70.59%-69.16%-67.68%

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