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Definitive Analysis

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WONIK Materials Co.,Ltd. (104830.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$190,017.05 - $536,258.92$502,527.91
Multi-Stage$85,780.36 - $94,039.45$89,833.18
Blended Fair Value$296,180.54
Current Price$32,100.00
Upside822.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.59%0.00%150.01800.03400.02200.01150.01200.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---81.25%100.00%100.00%33.33%-25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.78%2.10%1.40%0.56%0.40%1.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34,177.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,412.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)29,764.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,835.504,272.192,563.31
Cash Retained (M)29,764.6829,764.6829,764.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,835.50-4,272.19-2,563.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,929.1825,492.5027,201.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.6112.6112.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,818.692,022.012,157.55
LTM Dividend per Share350.01350.01350.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,818.692,022.012,157.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,168.712,372.022,507.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.13%6.13%6.13%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Fair Value$190,017.05$502,527.91$536,258.92
Upside / Downside491.95%1,465.51%1,570.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34,177.4836,203.5538,349.7240,623.1243,031.2945,582.2146,949.68
Payout Ratio12.91%28.33%43.75%59.16%74.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,412.8010,256.1516,776.8024,034.4932,093.7241,023.9943,428.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.13%6.13%6.13%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Year 1 PV (M)9,572.939,664.169,755.39
Year 2 PV (M)14,616.0414,895.9615,178.53
Year 3 PV (M)19,544.1120,108.2420,683.12
Year 4 PV (M)24,359.1025,301.0626,270.08
Year 5 PV (M)29,062.9330,474.4831,940.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)984,320.791,032,127.941,081,774.84
Equity Value (M)1,081,475.901,132,571.831,185,602.30
Shares Outstanding (M)12.6112.6112.61
Fair Value$85,780.36$89,833.18$94,039.45
Upside / Downside167.23%179.85%192.96%

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