Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SÜSS MicroTec SE (0Q3C.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.82 - $40.45$33.25
Multi-Stage$52.35 - $57.68$54.96
Blended Fair Value$44.11
Current Price$46.56
Upside-5.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.210.170.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%25.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.57%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.357.094.26
Cash Retained (M)51.0051.0051.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.35-7.09-4.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.6543.9146.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.0518.0518.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.202.432.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.202.432.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.512.752.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.82$33.25$40.45
Upside / Downside-42.40%-28.58%-13.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.7456.1755.6155.0554.5053.9655.58
Payout Ratio10.11%26.09%42.06%58.04%74.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.7414.6523.3931.9540.3448.5651.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)13.5313.6713.81
Year 2 PV (M)19.9520.3620.77
Year 3 PV (M)25.1725.9526.74
Year 4 PV (M)29.3430.5631.81
Year 5 PV (M)32.6234.3236.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)824.28867.20911.90
Equity Value (M)944.89992.061,041.12
Shares Outstanding (M)18.0518.0518.05
Fair Value$52.35$54.96$57.68
Upside / Downside12.44%18.05%23.89%

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