Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Tapex Co., Ltd. (055490.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,582.20 - $5,529.72$4,486.74
Multi-Stage$8,112.10 - $8,926.96$8,511.53
Blended Fair Value$6,499.13
Current Price$13,740.00
Upside-52.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%299.30889.04691.47493.910.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---66.33%28.57%40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.36%3.58%1.13%0.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,851.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)953.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)897.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)370.35231.47138.88
Cash Retained (M)897.80897.80897.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-370.35-231.47-138.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)527.45666.33758.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.784.784.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share110.44139.52158.91
LTM Dividend per Share199.74199.74199.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share110.44139.52158.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend310.18339.26358.65
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,582.20$4,486.74$5,529.72
Upside / Downside-73.93%-67.35%-59.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,851.731,833.211,814.881,796.731,778.761,760.981,813.81
Payout Ratio51.52%59.21%66.91%74.61%82.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)953.931,085.491,214.331,340.471,463.981,584.881,677.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,009.081,019.381,029.67
Year 2 PV (M)1,049.381,070.911,092.65
Year 3 PV (M)1,076.851,110.151,144.13
Year 4 PV (M)1,093.281,138.591,185.29
Year 5 PV (M)1,100.251,157.541,217.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,413.1035,153.0036,964.64
Equity Value (M)38,741.9440,649.5642,633.58
Shares Outstanding (M)4.784.784.78
Fair Value$8,112.10$8,511.53$8,926.96
Upside / Downside-40.96%-38.05%-35.03%

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