Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Paradise Co., Ltd. (034230.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,987.08 - $22,905.69$17,195.26
Multi-Stage$26,687.52 - $29,393.71$28,014.20
Blended Fair Value$22,604.73
Current Price$10,320.00
Upside119.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.27%-13.09%97.350.000.000.0096.0496.0496.04288.12360.15482.15
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-66.67%-20.00%-25.30%21.79%
Dividend Yield--0.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.58%0.74%0.53%1.37%2.61%3.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87,078.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,634.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)78,443.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,415.7110,884.826,530.89
Cash Retained (M)78,443.7878,443.7878,443.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,415.71-10,884.82-6,530.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)61,028.0767,558.9671,912.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.7088.7088.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share688.05761.68810.77
LTM Dividend per Share97.3597.3597.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share688.05761.68810.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend785.40859.03908.12
WACC / Discount Rate5.86%5.86%5.86%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Fair Value$12,987.08$17,195.26$22,905.69
Upside / Downside25.84%66.62%121.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87,078.5587,796.6388,520.6389,250.6089,986.5990,728.6593,450.50
Payout Ratio9.92%25.93%41.95%57.97%73.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,634.7822,768.1837,134.0951,735.3966,574.9781,655.7886,441.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.86%5.86%5.86%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Year 1 PV (M)21,294.1921,507.5021,720.82
Year 2 PV (M)32,481.6733,135.7133,796.26
Year 3 PV (M)42,323.9443,608.6744,919.14
Year 4 PV (M)50,938.0353,010.0155,144.56
Year 5 PV (M)58,432.0261,417.9864,524.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,161,646.282,272,109.562,387,043.24
Equity Value (M)2,367,116.122,484,789.422,607,148.80
Shares Outstanding (M)88.7088.7088.70
Fair Value$26,687.52$28,014.20$29,393.71
Upside / Downside158.60%171.46%184.82%

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