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Definitive Analysis

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Kyungdong Invest Co., Ltd (012320.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$126,825.99 - $212,443.79$164,434.73
Multi-Stage$246,320.70 - $271,281.51$258,557.34
Blended Fair Value$211,496.04
Current Price$57,500.00
Upside267.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.69%-9.28%755.91755.91755.91505.63518.44521.86521.862,013.932,180.822,191.23
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%49.50%-2.47%-0.66%0.00%-74.09%-7.65%-0.48%9.40%
Dividend Yield--1.26%0.89%0.71%1.41%1.28%2.21%1.31%4.74%2.46%2.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23,441.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,657.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,783.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,688.232,930.151,758.09
Cash Retained (M)21,783.8221,783.8221,783.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,688.23-2,930.15-1,758.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,095.5918,853.6820,025.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.182.182.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share7,849.568,656.809,194.95
LTM Dividend per Share760.98760.98760.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share7,849.568,656.809,194.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,610.549,417.789,955.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Fair Value$126,825.99$164,434.73$212,443.79
Upside / Downside120.57%185.97%269.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23,441.1623,573.6823,706.9523,840.9823,975.7624,111.3024,834.64
Payout Ratio7.07%23.66%40.24%56.83%73.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,657.345,576.639,540.1813,548.3717,601.5721,700.1722,972.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Year 1 PV (M)5,192.735,244.895,297.04
Year 2 PV (M)8,271.908,438.898,607.55
Year 3 PV (M)10,938.5411,271.4611,611.05
Year 4 PV (M)13,232.6913,772.3714,328.39
Year 5 PV (M)15,190.9115,969.2516,779.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)483,636.24508,416.41534,202.07
Equity Value (M)536,463.01563,113.27590,825.28
Shares Outstanding (M)2.182.182.18
Fair Value$246,320.70$258,557.34$271,281.51
Upside / Downside328.38%349.66%371.79%

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