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Definitive Analysis

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Ruida Futures Co., Ltd. (002961.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.68 - $218.72$204.97
Multi-Stage$31.25 - $34.20$32.70
Blended Fair Value$118.83
Current Price$21.55
Upside451.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS59.07%15.77%0.380.250.370.310.210.040.130.020.020.00
YoY Growth--54.89%-34.00%22.23%43.87%466.43%-70.62%452.01%39.60%1,845.66%-99.04%
Dividend Yield--2.35%1.95%2.36%1.59%1.02%0.13%1.60%0.00%0.21%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)497.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)165.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)331.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)99.4062.1337.28
Cash Retained (M)331.77331.77331.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-99.40-62.13-37.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)232.37269.65294.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)451.92451.92451.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.961.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$84.68$204.97$218.72
Upside / Downside292.96%851.15%914.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)497.01529.32563.72600.37639.39680.95701.38
Payout Ratio33.25%44.60%55.95%67.30%78.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)165.24236.06315.39404.04502.88612.86648.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)219.37221.45223.53
Year 2 PV (M)272.38277.57282.80
Year 3 PV (M)324.27333.58343.06
Year 4 PV (M)375.07389.49404.33
Year 5 PV (M)424.78445.30466.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,504.5913,108.5713,735.66
Equity Value (M)14,120.4614,775.9615,455.99
Shares Outstanding (M)451.92451.92451.92
Fair Value$31.25$32.70$34.20
Upside / Downside44.99%51.72%58.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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