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Definitive Analysis

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Ningbo Sunrise Elc Technology Co.,Ltd (002937.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$89.71 - $105.70$99.05
Multi-Stage$72.16 - $79.17$75.60
Blended Fair Value$87.33
Current Price$19.14
Upside356.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.22%10.41%0.370.260.180.180.120.190.160.150.100.10
YoY Growth--41.83%40.63%1.88%49.49%-36.00%15.09%11.67%43.31%1.14%-25.65%
Dividend Yield--1.88%1.17%0.72%1.20%0.91%1.43%0.74%1.65%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.9219.3311.60
Cash Retained (M)66.0466.0466.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.92-19.33-11.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.1246.7154.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)290.90290.90290.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$89.71$99.05$105.70
Upside / Downside368.72%417.52%452.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154.60164.65175.36186.75198.89211.82218.18
Payout Ratio57.29%63.83%70.37%76.91%83.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.57105.10123.40143.64165.99190.64201.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)105.18106.17107.17
Year 2 PV (M)123.59125.95128.32
Year 3 PV (M)143.97148.11152.32
Year 4 PV (M)166.51172.91179.50
Year 5 PV (M)191.38200.62210.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,259.5721,238.1222,254.11
Equity Value (M)20,990.2021,991.8823,031.64
Shares Outstanding (M)290.90290.90290.90
Fair Value$72.16$75.60$79.17
Upside / Downside276.99%294.98%313.66%

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