Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co., Ltd. (002463.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$301.87 - $355.65$333.30
Multi-Stage$232.06 - $254.68$243.16
Blended Fair Value$288.23
Current Price$73.47
Upside292.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS44.54%22.80%0.560.190.150.180.190.090.050.050.010.01
YoY Growth--199.55%27.70%-17.51%-4.21%108.76%71.88%7.17%572.45%-2.18%-89.80%
Dividend Yield--1.72%0.59%0.68%1.35%1.22%0.41%0.45%1.22%0.16%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,456.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,050.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,405.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)691.29432.06259.23
Cash Retained (M)2,405.562,405.562,405.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-691.29-432.06-259.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,714.261,973.502,146.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,932.811,932.811,932.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.021.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.021.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.431.561.65
WACC / Discount Rate-0.20%-0.20%-0.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$301.87$333.30$355.65
Upside / Downside310.87%353.65%384.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,456.473,681.143,920.414,175.244,446.634,735.664,877.73
Payout Ratio30.40%42.32%54.24%66.16%78.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,050.911,557.982,126.532,762.413,471.964,262.094,511.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.20%-0.20%-0.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,546.421,561.081,575.74
Year 2 PV (M)2,095.102,135.002,175.28
Year 3 PV (M)2,701.392,778.942,857.95
Year 4 PV (M)3,370.093,499.693,633.00
Year 5 PV (M)4,106.344,304.684,510.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)434,702.02455,698.29477,498.14
Equity Value (M)448,521.36469,977.68492,250.72
Shares Outstanding (M)1,932.811,932.811,932.81
Fair Value$232.06$243.16$254.68
Upside / Downside215.85%230.96%246.65%

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