Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Huaming Power Equipment Co.,Ltd (002270.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.92 - $40.59$25.06
Multi-Stage$11.70 - $12.80$12.24
Blended Fair Value$18.65
Current Price$19.81
Upside-5.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.60%31.65%0.840.590.420.230.140.100.100.010.050.12
YoY Growth--42.54%38.79%85.01%58.49%38.05%8.95%567.90%-69.45%-59.27%115.63%
Dividend Yield--5.68%3.29%4.64%3.29%2.77%2.29%1.71%0.23%0.48%0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)701.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)57.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)643.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)140.3087.6952.61
Cash Retained (M)643.96643.96643.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-140.30-87.69-52.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)503.66556.28591.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)890.63890.63890.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.620.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.620.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.92$25.06$40.59
Upside / Downside-14.60%26.48%104.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)701.48747.08795.64847.36902.43961.09989.92
Payout Ratio8.20%24.56%40.92%57.28%73.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)57.52183.48325.58485.37664.55864.98915.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)166.10167.67169.25
Year 2 PV (M)266.80271.88277.01
Year 3 PV (M)360.06370.40380.93
Year 4 PV (M)446.28463.44481.09
Year 5 PV (M)525.84551.24577.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,658.019,076.209,510.39
Equity Value (M)10,423.0910,900.8211,396.27
Shares Outstanding (M)890.63890.63890.63
Fair Value$11.70$12.24$12.80
Upside / Downside-40.92%-38.22%-35.41%

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