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Definitive Analysis

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DL Construction Co., Ltd. (001880.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16,743.40 - $25,908.57$20,993.16
Multi-Stage$37,293.61 - $41,108.39$39,163.27
Blended Fair Value$30,078.22
Current Price$12,510.00
Upside140.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%0.00774.01777.93260.55162.840.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-0.50%198.57%60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%5.79%2.66%0.75%1.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41,905.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,012.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)34,893.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,381.145,238.213,142.93
Cash Retained (M)34,893.0234,893.0234,893.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,381.14-5,238.21-3,142.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,511.8829,654.8131,750.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.3023.3023.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,137.671,272.541,362.45
LTM Dividend per Share300.93300.93300.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,137.671,272.541,362.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,438.601,573.471,663.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$16,743.40$20,993.16$25,908.57
Upside / Downside33.84%67.81%107.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41,905.6841,486.6241,071.7640,661.0440,254.4339,851.8841,047.44
Payout Ratio16.73%31.39%46.04%60.69%75.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,012.6613,021.6218,909.7024,678.7130,330.4535,866.7037,968.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12,112.4512,236.0412,359.64
Year 2 PV (M)16,361.3216,696.9317,035.94
Year 3 PV (M)19,862.0020,476.2521,103.03
Year 4 PV (M)22,706.3023,647.3724,617.39
Year 5 PV (M)24,976.1626,276.7227,630.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)773,057.80813,312.71855,227.36
Equity Value (M)869,076.02912,646.02957,974.28
Shares Outstanding (M)23.3023.3023.30
Fair Value$37,293.61$39,163.27$41,108.39
Upside / Downside198.11%213.06%228.60%

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