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Definitive Analysis

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CS Holdings Co., Ltd. (000590.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$196,733.12 - $283,824.34$239,155.72
Multi-Stage$271,450.74 - $298,289.20$284,611.26
Blended Fair Value$261,883.49
Current Price$83,200.00
Upside214.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.61%0.00%729.731,178.331,194.60555.54555.54555.54555.541,495.230.000.00
YoY Growth---38.07%-1.36%115.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%-62.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.02%1.79%2.05%0.77%0.86%1.39%0.90%1.97%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,128.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)705.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)27,423.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,625.693,516.062,109.63
Cash Retained (M)27,423.3727,423.3727,423.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,625.69-3,516.06-2,109.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,797.6823,907.3225,313.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.031.031.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share21,109.0723,152.0624,514.05
LTM Dividend per Share682.82682.82682.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share21,109.0723,152.0624,514.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend21,791.8923,834.8825,196.87
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate-0.99%0.01%1.01%
Fair Value$196,733.12$239,155.72$283,824.34
Upside / Downside136.46%187.45%241.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,128.4628,132.2428,136.0228,139.8028,143.5828,147.3528,991.78
Payout Ratio2.51%20.01%37.50%55.00%72.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)705.095,627.9510,552.1315,477.6420,404.4725,332.6226,817.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate-0.99%0.01%1.01%
Year 1 PV (M)5,066.045,117.205,168.37
Year 2 PV (M)8,550.208,723.788,899.11
Year 3 PV (M)11,289.0911,634.6011,987.09
Year 4 PV (M)13,396.6913,946.1514,512.34
Year 5 PV (M)14,971.6715,743.1416,546.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)227,032.20238,730.84250,906.85
Equity Value (M)280,305.87293,895.71308,019.84
Shares Outstanding (M)1.031.031.03
Fair Value$271,450.74$284,611.26$298,289.20
Upside / Downside226.26%242.08%258.52%

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