Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Inner Mongolia Xingye Mining Co., Ltd. (000426.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.18 - $37.16$24.56
Multi-Stage$12.43 - $13.58$12.99
Blended Fair Value$18.78
Current Price$32.89
Upside-42.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.96%34.82%0.130.020.080.080.090.090.020.020.150.34
YoY Growth--658.22%-77.70%-4.68%-9.78%0.86%334.26%-0.49%-85.82%-56.45%4,969.23%
Dividend Yield--0.98%0.16%0.97%1.09%1.38%1.72%0.32%0.21%1.78%4.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,594.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,333.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)318.82199.26119.56
Cash Retained (M)1,333.561,333.561,333.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-318.82-199.26-119.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,014.741,134.301,214.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,782.801,782.801,782.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.640.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.640.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.780.83
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.18$24.56$37.16
Upside / Downside-47.76%-25.32%12.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,594.091,697.711,808.061,925.582,050.752,184.042,249.57
Payout Ratio16.34%31.07%45.81%60.54%75.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.53527.56828.201,165.701,543.571,965.642,080.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)475.56480.07484.58
Year 2 PV (M)672.98685.80698.74
Year 3 PV (M)853.87878.38903.35
Year 4 PV (M)1,019.211,058.411,098.72
Year 5 PV (M)1,169.971,226.481,285.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,969.3118,837.2419,738.38
Equity Value (M)22,160.9123,166.3824,208.93
Shares Outstanding (M)1,782.801,782.801,782.80
Fair Value$12.43$12.99$13.58
Upside / Downside-62.21%-60.49%-58.71%

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