Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $2,839.05 - $15,033.91 | $5,649.71 |
| Multi-Stage | $2,249.90 - $2,465.04 | $2,355.47 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,002.59 | |
| Current Price | $1,130.00 | |
| Upside | 254.21% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 3.31% | 6.05% | 31.45 | 38.55 | 35.78 | 28.79 | 26.73 | 26.73 | 25.70 | 22.62 | 19.53 | 19.53 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -18.42% | 7.75% | 24.30% | 7.69% | 0.00% | 4.00% | 13.64% | 15.79% | 0.00% | 11.76% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.77% | 2.63% | 1.70% | 1.79% | 1.70% | 2.23% | 1.72% | 1.51% | 1.27% | 1.35% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,493,602.86 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,635,802.50 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,857,800.36 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 698,720.57 | 436,700.36 | 262,020.21 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,857,800.36 | 1,857,800.36 | 1,857,800.36 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -698,720.57 | -436,700.36 | -262,020.21 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,159,079.78 | 1,421,100.00 | 1,595,780.14 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 45,591.84 | 45,591.84 | 45,591.84 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 25.42 | 31.17 | 35.00 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 35.88 | 35.88 | 35.88 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 25.42 | 31.17 | 35.00 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 61.30 | 67.05 | 70.88 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.30% | 6.30% | 6.30% |
| Growth Rate | 4.05% | 5.05% | 6.05% |
| Fair Value | $2,839.05 | $5,649.71 | $15,033.91 |
| Upside / Downside | 151.24% | 399.97% | 1,230.43% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,493,602.86 | 3,670,055.38 | 3,855,420.05 | 4,050,146.99 | 4,254,709.06 | 4,469,603.02 | 4,603,691.11 |
| Payout Ratio | 46.82% | 55.46% | 64.09% | 72.73% | 81.36% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,635,802.50 | 2,035,347.97 | 2,471,080.47 | 2,945,636.18 | 3,461,825.27 | 4,022,642.72 | 4,258,414.28 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.30% | 6.30% | 6.30% |
| Growth Rate | 4.05% | 5.05% | 6.05% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,896,539.50 | 1,914,766.57 | 1,932,993.63 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,145,523.79 | 2,186,961.92 | 2,228,796.39 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,383,135.72 | 2,452,508.97 | 2,523,215.64 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,609,744.77 | 2,711,526.22 | 2,816,256.19 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,825,709.93 | 2,964,130.32 | 3,107,922.86 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 90,716,484.67 | 95,160,327.54 | 99,776,637.97 |
| Equity Value (M) | 102,577,138.39 | 107,390,221.53 | 112,385,822.68 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 45,591.84 | 45,591.84 | 45,591.84 |
| Fair Value | $2,249.90 | $2,355.47 | $2,465.04 |
| Upside / Downside | 99.11% | 108.45% | 118.15% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |