Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $3,393.41 - $17,866.05 | $6,783.67 |
| Multi-Stage | $2,397.34 - $2,624.27 | $2,508.71 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,646.19 | |
| Current Price | $484.00 | |
| Upside | 859.96% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 10.77% | -3.39% | 8.73 | 7.23 | 6.14 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 5.23 | 7.00 | 9.16 | 14.08 | 47.40 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 20.79% | 17.75% | 17,347.96% | 0.00% | -100.00% | -25.25% | -23.58% | -34.92% | -70.30% | 284.71% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.60% | 1.65% | 0.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.05% | 0.86% | 1.07% | 1.60% | 5.02% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 5,545,680.85 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 2,687,775.59 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,857,905.26 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,109,136.17 | 693,210.11 | 415,926.06 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,857,905.26 | 2,857,905.26 | 2,857,905.26 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,109,136.17 | -693,210.11 | -415,926.06 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,748,769.09 | 2,164,695.15 | 2,441,979.19 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 61,152.37 | 61,152.37 | 61,152.37 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 28.60 | 35.40 | 39.93 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 43.95 | 43.95 | 43.95 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 28.60 | 35.40 | 39.93 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 72.55 | 79.35 | 83.88 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.73% | 6.73% | 6.73% |
| Growth Rate | 4.49% | 5.49% | 6.49% |
| Fair Value | $3,393.41 | $6,783.67 | $17,866.05 |
| Upside / Downside | 601.12% | 1,301.58% | 3,591.33% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 5,545,680.85 | 5,850,225.32 | 6,171,494.05 | 6,510,405.44 | 6,867,928.36 | 7,245,084.88 | 7,462,437.42 |
| Payout Ratio | 48.47% | 56.77% | 65.08% | 73.39% | 81.69% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 2,687,775.59 | 3,321,341.71 | 4,016,387.59 | 4,777,754.96 | 5,610,631.92 | 6,520,576.39 | 6,902,754.62 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.73% | 6.73% | 6.73% |
| Growth Rate | 4.49% | 5.49% | 6.49% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 3,082,540.22 | 3,112,040.59 | 3,141,540.96 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 3,459,600.88 | 3,526,135.55 | 3,593,303.92 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 3,819,525.79 | 3,930,238.91 | 4,043,071.06 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 4,162,867.08 | 4,324,526.38 | 4,490,848.96 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 4,490,161.33 | 4,709,170.92 | 4,936,644.17 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 127,588,259.65 | 133,811,433.02 | 140,275,102.07 |
| Equity Value (M) | 146,602,954.96 | 153,413,545.37 | 160,480,511.14 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 61,152.37 | 61,152.37 | 61,152.37 |
| Fair Value | $2,397.34 | $2,508.71 | $2,624.27 |
| Upside / Downside | 395.32% | 418.33% | 442.21% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |