Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas IntegratedSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$115.76 - $341.52$320.05
Multi-Stage$47.02 - $51.44$49.19
Blended Fair Value$184.62
Current Price$23.65
Upside680.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS42.09%6.46%0.820.540.490.100.040.140.130.120.090.29
YoY Growth--52.12%9.88%411.93%128.57%-70.38%6.12%8.89%35.54%-68.56%-34.41%
Dividend Yield--4.11%1.99%2.09%0.46%0.45%5.00%1.10%1.14%0.60%1.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,142.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,381.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,761.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)628.40392.75235.65
Cash Retained (M)1,761.001,761.001,761.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-628.40-392.75-235.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,132.601,368.251,525.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,829.661,829.661,829.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.750.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.750.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.371.501.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$115.76$320.05$341.52
Upside / Downside389.46%1,253.30%1,344.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,142.003,346.233,563.733,795.384,042.084,304.814,433.96
Payout Ratio43.95%53.16%62.37%71.58%80.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,381.001,778.932,222.762,716.783,265.623,874.334,101.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,650.771,666.421,682.06
Year 2 PV (M)1,914.021,950.481,987.28
Year 3 PV (M)2,170.872,233.182,296.68
Year 4 PV (M)2,421.432,514.552,610.33
Year 5 PV (M)2,665.812,794.572,928.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)75,213.0478,845.8582,617.71
Equity Value (M)86,035.9390,005.0594,122.32
Shares Outstanding (M)1,829.661,829.661,829.66
Fair Value$47.02$49.19$51.44
Upside / Downside98.83%108.00%117.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 17 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SAHSonic Automotive, Inc.2.13%$1.3135.28%
AIG-PAAmerican International Group, Inc.2.12%$1.6930.01%
LANCLancaster Colony Corporation2.11%$3.8261.80%
TDACTranslational Development Acquisition Corp.2.10%$0.2279.86%
FASTFastenal Company2.09%$0.8579.50%
FDUSFidus Investment Corporation2.09%$0.4117.86%
IBOCInternational Bancshares Corporation2.09%$1.4020.70%
SMRSXALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor2.09%$0.2298.81%
SSSSSuRo Capital Corp.2.09%$0.208.46%
MLRMiller Industries, Inc.2.08%$0.7830.00%
OACCOaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences2.08%$0.2261.74%
FCCOFirst Community Corporation2.07%$0.6025.08%
GNTXGentex Corporation2.07%$0.4928.42%
OACCUOaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit2.07%$0.2261.74%
DLBDolby Laboratories, Inc.2.06%$1.3149.64%
APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.2.05%$0.7737.24%
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated2.05%$1.0832.74%
EWBCEast West Bancorp, Inc.2.05%$2.3625.97%
ALFCenturion Acquisition Corp.2.04%$0.2251.38%
ATOAtmos Energy Corporation2.04%$3.4546.19%
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp2.04%$0.6129.73%
0HYE.LCincinnati Financial Corporation2.03%$3.2824.36%
AOSA. O. Smith Corporation2.03%$1.3936.68%
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.2.02%$0.8018.03%
ARKOArko Corp.2.02%$0.0955.86%
KFYKorn Ferry2.02%$1.3426.97%
0H68.LAflac Incorporated2.01%$2.2028.14%
LENLennar Corporation2.01%$2.1025.46%
AVYAvery Dennison Corporation2.00%$3.6641.17%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.2.00%$3.7422.61%
ALFUUCenturion Acquisition Corp. Unit1.99%$0.2251.38%
GNTYGuaranty Bancshares, Inc.1.99%$0.9730.69%
NCNACCO Industries, Inc.1.99%$0.9524.54%
QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated1.99%$3.4468.67%
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.1.98%$3.5520.46%
CNMDCONMED Corporation1.97%$0.8038.60%
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.1.97%$1.0036.69%
FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc.1.97%$1.0046.25%
RPMRPM International Inc.1.97%$2.0437.93%
BNJBrookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P1.96%$0.3070.51%
MTGMGIC Investment Corporation1.96%$0.5717.51%
CCSCentury Communities, Inc.1.95%$1.1516.06%
0K6F.LNetApp, Inc.1.94%$2.0735.51%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.1.94%$21.0053.94%
FNB-PEF.N.B. Corporation1.94%$0.4834.55%
0L4F.LSealed Air Corporation1.93%$0.8030.13%
AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.1.93%$0.5142.14%
SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.1.93%$0.8026.98%
FSFGFirst Savings Financial Group, Inc.1.92%$0.6123.93%
GENGen Digital Inc.1.92%$0.5054.91%