Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$174.31 - $630.39$552.37
Multi-Stage$82.15 - $89.76$85.89
Blended Fair Value$319.13
Current Price$44.49
Upside617.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.50%16.58%2.111.852.350.820.930.830.740.600.360.60
YoY Growth--13.83%-21.01%187.13%-12.02%11.88%11.59%24.76%65.17%-39.41%30.99%
Dividend Yield--4.76%3.56%6.27%2.11%4.79%8.71%3.99%3.01%1.65%3.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,655.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,755.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,900.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,331.00831.88499.13
Cash Retained (M)1,900.001,900.001,900.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,331.00-831.88-499.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)569.001,068.131,400.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,099.522,099.522,099.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.510.67
LTM Dividend per Share2.262.262.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.510.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.542.772.93
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$174.31$552.37$630.39
Upside / Downside291.80%1,141.56%1,316.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,655.007,087.587,548.278,038.908,561.439,117.939,391.46
Payout Ratio71.45%75.16%78.87%82.58%86.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,755.005,327.025,953.326,638.537,387.668,206.138,687.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,930.184,976.915,023.64
Year 2 PV (M)5,099.365,196.485,294.53
Year 3 PV (M)5,262.675,413.745,567.68
Year 4 PV (M)5,420.255,628.695,843.10
Year 5 PV (M)5,572.235,841.376,120.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)146,200.17153,261.69160,593.48
Equity Value (M)172,484.84180,318.89188,443.23
Shares Outstanding (M)2,099.522,099.522,099.52
Fair Value$82.15$85.89$89.76
Upside / Downside84.66%93.04%101.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 17 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SAHSonic Automotive, Inc.2.13%$1.3135.28%
AIG-PAAmerican International Group, Inc.2.12%$1.6930.01%
LANCLancaster Colony Corporation2.11%$3.8261.80%
TDACTranslational Development Acquisition Corp.2.10%$0.2279.86%
FASTFastenal Company2.09%$0.8579.50%
FDUSFidus Investment Corporation2.09%$0.4117.86%
IBOCInternational Bancshares Corporation2.09%$1.4020.70%
SMRSXALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor2.09%$0.2298.81%
SSSSSuRo Capital Corp.2.09%$0.208.46%
MLRMiller Industries, Inc.2.08%$0.7830.00%
OACCOaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences2.08%$0.2261.74%
FCCOFirst Community Corporation2.07%$0.6025.08%
GNTXGentex Corporation2.07%$0.4928.42%
OACCUOaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit2.07%$0.2261.74%
DLBDolby Laboratories, Inc.2.06%$1.3149.64%
APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.2.05%$0.7737.24%
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated2.05%$1.0832.74%
EWBCEast West Bancorp, Inc.2.05%$2.3625.97%
ALFCenturion Acquisition Corp.2.04%$0.2251.38%
ATOAtmos Energy Corporation2.04%$3.4546.19%
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp2.04%$0.6129.73%
0HYE.LCincinnati Financial Corporation2.03%$3.2824.36%
AOSA. O. Smith Corporation2.03%$1.3936.68%
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.2.02%$0.8018.03%
ARKOArko Corp.2.02%$0.0955.86%
KFYKorn Ferry2.02%$1.3426.97%
0H68.LAflac Incorporated2.01%$2.2028.14%
LENLennar Corporation2.01%$2.1025.46%
AVYAvery Dennison Corporation2.00%$3.6641.17%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.2.00%$3.7422.61%
ALFUUCenturion Acquisition Corp. Unit1.99%$0.2251.38%
GNTYGuaranty Bancshares, Inc.1.99%$0.9730.69%
NCNACCO Industries, Inc.1.99%$0.9524.54%
QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated1.99%$3.4468.67%
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.1.98%$3.5520.46%
CNMDCONMED Corporation1.97%$0.8038.60%
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.1.97%$1.0036.69%
FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc.1.97%$1.0046.25%
RPMRPM International Inc.1.97%$2.0437.93%
BNJBrookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P1.96%$0.3070.51%
MTGMGIC Investment Corporation1.96%$0.5717.51%
CCSCentury Communities, Inc.1.95%$1.1516.06%
0K6F.LNetApp, Inc.1.94%$2.0735.51%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.1.94%$21.0053.94%
FNB-PEF.N.B. Corporation1.94%$0.4834.55%
0L4F.LSealed Air Corporation1.93%$0.8030.13%
AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.1.93%$0.5142.14%
SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.1.93%$0.8026.98%
FSFGFirst Savings Financial Group, Inc.1.92%$0.6123.93%
GENGen Digital Inc.1.92%$0.5054.91%