Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $11,097.38 - $20,883.73 | $15,072.00 |
| Multi-Stage | $18,498.96 - $20,325.33 | $19,394.63 |
| Blended Fair Value | $17,233.32 | |
| Current Price | $8,175.00 | |
| Upside | 110.81% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 2.14% | -6.55% | 248.97 | 400.96 | 443.95 | 254.97 | 90.99 | 223.98 | 433.96 | 517.95 | 98.99 | 386.14 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -37.91% | -9.68% | 74.12% | 180.22% | -59.38% | -48.39% | -16.22% | 423.23% | -74.36% | -21.20% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.45% | 5.79% | 5.48% | 2.03% | 0.91% | 4.15% | 3.85% | 3.84% | 0.66% | 2.69% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,416,511.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 515,764.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 900,747.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 283,302.20 | 177,063.88 | 106,238.33 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 900,747.00 | 900,747.00 | 900,747.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -283,302.20 | -177,063.88 | -106,238.33 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 617,444.80 | 723,683.13 | 794,508.68 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,924.69 | 1,924.69 | 1,924.69 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 320.80 | 376.00 | 412.80 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 267.97 | 267.97 | 267.97 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 320.80 | 376.00 | 412.80 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 588.78 | 643.97 | 680.77 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 0.95% | 1.95% | 2.95% |
| Fair Value | $11,097.38 | $15,072.00 | $20,883.73 |
| Upside / Downside | 35.75% | 84.37% | 155.46% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,416,511.00 | 1,444,164.13 | 1,472,357.11 | 1,501,100.47 | 1,530,404.96 | 1,560,281.53 | 1,607,089.98 |
| Payout Ratio | 36.41% | 47.13% | 57.85% | 68.56% | 79.28% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 515,764.00 | 680,615.74 | 851,707.39 | 1,029,219.76 | 1,213,338.33 | 1,404,253.38 | 1,486,558.23 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 0.95% | 1.95% | 2.95% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 633,948.81 | 640,228.50 | 646,508.19 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 738,915.56 | 753,626.99 | 768,483.42 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 831,696.19 | 856,657.36 | 882,113.04 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 913,252.17 | 949,978.92 | 987,802.42 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 984,479.03 | 1,034,214.30 | 1,085,939.65 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 31,502,426.42 | 33,093,909.56 | 34,749,073.11 |
| Equity Value (M) | 35,604,718.17 | 37,328,615.63 | 39,119,919.82 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,924.69 | 1,924.69 | 1,924.69 |
| Fair Value | $18,498.96 | $19,394.63 | $20,325.33 |
| Upside / Downside | 126.29% | 137.24% | 148.63% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |