Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $63,751.89 - $185,982.66 | $174,292.99 |
| Multi-Stage | $25,549.56 - $27,960.15 | $26,732.74 |
| Blended Fair Value | $100,512.86 | |
| Current Price | $17,080.00 | |
| Upside | 488.48% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 13.14% | 16.78% | 314.62 | 259.64 | 209.77 | 169.76 | 159.44 | 169.71 | 144.72 | 134.71 | 124.62 | 114.55 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 21.17% | 23.78% | 23.56% | 6.47% | -6.05% | 17.27% | 7.43% | 8.09% | 8.79% | 71.74% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.85% | 1.17% | 0.72% | 0.78% | 0.77% | 0.98% | 1.00% | 1.02% | 1.09% | 1.35% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 274,033.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 96,754.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 177,279.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 54,806.60 | 34,254.13 | 20,552.48 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 177,279.00 | 177,279.00 | 177,279.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -54,806.60 | -34,254.13 | -20,552.48 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 122,472.40 | 143,024.88 | 156,726.53 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 293.03 | 293.03 | 293.03 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 417.95 | 488.09 | 534.85 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 330.19 | 330.19 | 330.19 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 417.95 | 488.09 | 534.85 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 748.14 | 818.28 | 865.04 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.74% | 6.74% | 6.74% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $63,751.89 | $174,292.99 | $185,982.66 |
| Upside / Downside | 273.25% | 920.45% | 988.89% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 274,033.00 | 291,845.15 | 310,815.08 | 331,018.06 | 352,534.23 | 375,448.96 | 386,712.43 |
| Payout Ratio | 35.31% | 46.25% | 57.18% | 68.12% | 79.06% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 96,754.00 | 134,966.53 | 177,737.91 | 225,499.34 | 278,718.80 | 337,904.06 | 357,709.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.74% | 6.74% | 6.74% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 125,259.20 | 126,446.49 | 127,633.78 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 153,090.12 | 156,006.06 | 158,949.50 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 180,258.56 | 185,433.14 | 190,705.81 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 206,776.15 | 214,728.18 | 222,907.39 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 232,654.33 | 243,891.63 | 255,558.99 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 6,588,724.29 | 6,906,962.14 | 7,237,379.70 |
| Equity Value (M) | 7,486,762.67 | 7,833,467.64 | 8,193,135.18 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 293.03 | 293.03 | 293.03 |
| Fair Value | $25,549.56 | $26,732.74 | $27,960.15 |
| Upside / Downside | 49.59% | 56.51% | 63.70% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |