Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $51,542.20 - $101,396.56 | $95,023.43 |
| Multi-Stage | $15,537.93 - $17,019.49 | $16,265.05 |
| Blended Fair Value | $55,644.24 | |
| Current Price | $5,230.00 | |
| Upside | 963.94% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 16.85% | -0.20% | 44.99 | 46.31 | 47.96 | 45.91 | 20.65 | 20.65 | 20.65 | 45.91 | 20.65 | 45.91 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -2.85% | -3.44% | 4.48% | 122.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -55.01% | 122.25% | -55.01% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.66% | 0.52% | 0.96% | 0.48% | 0.08% | 0.93% | 0.66% | 1.20% | 0.40% | 0.50% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 7,814.76 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,536.30 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 6,278.46 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,562.95 | 976.85 | 586.11 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 6,278.46 | 6,278.46 | 6,278.46 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,562.95 | -976.85 | -586.11 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 4,715.51 | 5,301.61 | 5,692.35 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 15.33 | 15.33 | 15.33 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 307.65 | 345.89 | 371.38 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 100.23 | 100.23 | 100.23 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 307.65 | 345.89 | 371.38 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 407.88 | 446.12 | 471.61 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.33% | 6.33% | 6.33% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $51,542.20 | $95,023.43 | $101,396.56 |
| Upside / Downside | 885.51% | 1,716.89% | 1,838.75% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 7,814.76 | 8,322.72 | 8,863.70 | 9,439.84 | 10,053.43 | 10,706.90 | 11,028.11 |
| Payout Ratio | 19.66% | 33.73% | 47.80% | 61.86% | 75.93% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,536.30 | 2,807.02 | 4,236.44 | 5,839.83 | 7,633.75 | 9,636.21 | 10,201.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.33% | 6.33% | 6.33% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 2,615.01 | 2,639.79 | 2,664.58 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 3,676.68 | 3,746.71 | 3,817.40 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 4,721.51 | 4,857.05 | 4,995.16 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 5,749.72 | 5,970.83 | 6,198.27 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 6,761.48 | 7,088.07 | 7,427.15 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 214,634.05 | 225,000.95 | 235,764.62 |
| Equity Value (M) | 238,158.44 | 249,303.40 | 260,867.17 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 15.33 | 15.33 | 15.33 |
| Fair Value | $15,537.93 | $16,265.05 | $17,019.49 |
| Upside / Downside | 197.09% | 211.00% | 225.42% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |