Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,150,336.79 - $2,289,495.21 | $2,145,592.31 |
| Multi-Stage | $356,382.45 - $389,983.12 | $372,874.41 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,259,233.36 | |
| Current Price | $183,500.00 | |
| Upside | 586.23% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 45.18% | 14.12% | 7,880.54 | 9,415.78 | 2,303.21 | 2,003.23 | 1,853.24 | 1,221.75 | 1,234.19 | 3,560.60 | 3,412.31 | 2,305.61 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -16.30% | 308.81% | 14.97% | 8.09% | 51.69% | -1.01% | -65.34% | 4.35% | 48.00% | 9.56% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.78% | 7.33% | 2.21% | 2.37% | 1.97% | 1.89% | 0.98% | 2.24% | 1.96% | 1.18% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 386,042.57 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 188,697.01 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 197,345.56 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 77,208.51 | 48,255.32 | 28,953.19 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 197,345.56 | 197,345.56 | 197,345.56 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -77,208.51 | -48,255.32 | -28,953.19 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 120,137.04 | 149,090.24 | 168,392.36 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 33.53 | 33.53 | 33.53 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 3,582.62 | 4,446.04 | 5,021.65 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 5,627.16 | 5,627.16 | 5,627.16 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 3,582.62 | 4,446.04 | 5,021.65 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 9,209.79 | 10,073.20 | 10,648.81 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $1,150,336.79 | $2,145,592.31 | $2,289,495.21 |
| Upside / Downside | 526.89% | 1,069.26% | 1,147.68% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 386,042.57 | 411,135.33 | 437,859.13 | 466,319.97 | 496,630.77 | 528,911.77 | 544,779.12 |
| Payout Ratio | 48.88% | 57.10% | 65.33% | 73.55% | 81.78% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 188,697.01 | 234,774.21 | 286,044.21 | 342,987.38 | 406,124.63 | 476,020.59 | 503,920.69 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 218,694.37 | 220,767.30 | 222,840.23 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 248,203.31 | 252,930.88 | 257,703.06 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 277,229.70 | 285,187.97 | 293,297.10 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 305,779.34 | 317,538.75 | 329,634.12 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 333,857.98 | 349,983.45 | 366,726.07 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 10,566,897.21 | 11,077,282.30 | 11,607,201.03 |
| Equity Value (M) | 11,950,661.90 | 12,503,690.64 | 13,077,401.60 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 33.53 | 33.53 | 33.53 |
| Fair Value | $356,382.45 | $372,874.41 | $389,983.12 |
| Upside / Downside | 94.21% | 103.20% | 112.52% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |