Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $2,726,766.70 - $3,212,593.17 | $3,010,670.28 |
| Multi-Stage | $601,704.74 - $659,664.62 | $630,147.49 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,820,408.89 | |
| Current Price | $84,600.00 | |
| Upside | 2,051.78% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 3.50% | 10.23% | 957.79 | 957.79 | 907.72 | 850.12 | 851.76 | 806.50 | 731.04 | 740.97 | 452.10 | 452.10 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.00% | 5.52% | 6.78% | -0.19% | 5.61% | 10.32% | -1.34% | 63.89% | 0.00% | 24.98% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.34% | 3.55% | 3.46% | 2.70% | 2.67% | 5.27% | 2.36% | 1.89% | 1.26% | 1.27% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,243,530.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 72,164.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,171,366.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 248,706.00 | 155,441.25 | 93,264.75 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,171,366.00 | 1,171,366.00 | 1,171,366.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -248,706.00 | -155,441.25 | -93,264.75 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 922,660.00 | 1,015,924.75 | 1,078,101.25 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 76.98 | 76.98 | 76.98 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 11,985.63 | 13,197.17 | 14,004.86 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 937.43 | 937.43 | 937.43 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 11,985.63 | 13,197.17 | 14,004.86 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 12,923.06 | 14,134.60 | 14,942.29 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 5.73% | 5.73% | 5.73% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $2,726,766.70 | $3,010,670.28 | $3,212,593.17 |
| Upside / Downside | 3,123.13% | 3,458.71% | 3,697.39% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,243,530.00 | 1,324,359.45 | 1,410,442.81 | 1,502,121.60 | 1,599,759.50 | 1,703,743.87 | 1,754,856.18 |
| Payout Ratio | 5.80% | 22.64% | 39.48% | 56.32% | 73.16% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 72,164.00 | 299,868.43 | 556,869.54 | 846,013.85 | 1,170,394.15 | 1,533,369.48 | 1,623,241.97 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 5.73% | 5.73% | 5.73% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 280,941.69 | 283,604.64 | 286,267.59 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 488,792.29 | 498,102.41 | 507,500.36 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 695,718.89 | 715,690.48 | 736,040.66 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 901,724.57 | 936,402.35 | 972,070.86 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,106,812.40 | 1,160,271.85 | 1,215,777.33 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 42,845,541.54 | 44,914,997.22 | 47,063,655.84 |
| Equity Value (M) | 46,319,531.38 | 48,509,068.95 | 50,781,312.64 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 76.98 | 76.98 | 76.98 |
| Fair Value | $601,704.74 | $630,147.49 | $659,664.62 |
| Upside / Downside | 611.23% | 644.86% | 679.75% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |