Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $3,023.04 - $5,484.72 | $4,047.72 |
| Multi-Stage | $5,165.70 - $5,668.81 | $5,412.45 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,730.09 | |
| Current Price | $1,280.00 | |
| Upside | 269.54% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 18.41% | 18.61% | 128.28 | 61.40 | 71.23 | 89.42 | 56.57 | 55.11 | 63.89 | 102.90 | 39.41 | 63.03 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 108.92% | -13.79% | -20.34% | 58.07% | 2.65% | -13.75% | -37.90% | 161.12% | -37.48% | 170.66% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 12.22% | 6.11% | 7.54% | 8.60% | 6.94% | 11.43% | 9.33% | 11.06% | 3.57% | 7.50% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 65,613.27 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 42,648.26 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 22,965.01 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 13,122.65 | 8,201.66 | 4,921.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 22,965.01 | 22,965.01 | 22,965.01 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -13,122.65 | -8,201.66 | -4,921.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 9,842.35 | 14,763.35 | 18,044.01 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 306.26 | 306.26 | 306.26 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 32.14 | 48.20 | 58.92 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 139.25 | 139.25 | 139.25 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 32.14 | 48.20 | 58.92 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 171.39 | 187.46 | 198.17 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.49% | 6.49% | 6.49% |
| Growth Rate | 0.77% | 1.77% | 2.77% |
| Fair Value | $3,023.04 | $4,047.72 | $5,484.72 |
| Upside / Downside | 136.17% | 216.23% | 328.49% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 65,613.27 | 66,777.41 | 67,962.20 | 69,168.02 | 70,395.23 | 71,644.21 | 73,793.53 |
| Payout Ratio | 65.00% | 70.00% | 75.00% | 80.00% | 85.00% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 42,648.26 | 46,743.89 | 50,971.43 | 55,334.26 | 59,835.86 | 64,479.79 | 68,259.02 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.49% | 6.49% | 6.49% |
| Growth Rate | 0.77% | 1.77% | 2.77% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 43,464.78 | 43,896.09 | 44,327.40 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 44,070.91 | 44,949.90 | 45,837.56 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 44,486.88 | 45,824.42 | 47,188.50 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 44,731.35 | 46,533.46 | 48,389.48 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 44,821.53 | 47,089.96 | 49,449.33 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,360,492.51 | 1,429,347.54 | 1,500,962.59 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,582,067.97 | 1,657,641.37 | 1,736,154.86 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 306.26 | 306.26 | 306.26 |
| Fair Value | $5,165.70 | $5,412.45 | $5,668.81 |
| Upside / Downside | 303.57% | 322.85% | 342.88% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |