Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $859,402.42 - $3,107,447.47 | $2,724,119.33 |
| Multi-Stage | $390,191.94 - $427,097.50 | $408,305.89 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,566,212.61 | |
| Current Price | $115,500.00 | |
| Upside | 1,256.03% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 14.18% | 22.64% | 4,002.68 | 3,100.71 | 3,870.17 | 2,643.04 | 2,317.91 | 2,062.61 | 2,063.90 | 1,340.44 | 1,019.19 | 811.19 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 29.09% | -19.88% | 46.43% | 14.03% | 12.38% | -0.06% | 53.97% | 31.52% | 25.64% | 56.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.07% | 4.53% | 8.12% | 4.31% | 4.12% | 5.97% | 4.69% | 2.21% | 2.08% | 2.55% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 5,804,665.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,316,794.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 4,487,871.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,160,933.00 | 725,583.13 | 435,349.88 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 4,487,871.00 | 4,487,871.00 | 4,487,871.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,160,933.00 | -725,583.13 | -435,349.88 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3,326,938.00 | 3,762,287.88 | 4,052,521.13 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 371.50 | 371.50 | 371.50 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 8,955.53 | 10,127.41 | 10,908.67 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 3,544.58 | 3,544.58 | 3,544.58 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 8,955.53 | 10,127.41 | 10,908.67 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 12,500.10 | 13,671.99 | 14,453.24 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $859,402.42 | $2,724,119.33 | $3,107,447.47 |
| Upside / Downside | 644.07% | 2,258.54% | 2,590.43% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 5,804,665.00 | 6,181,968.23 | 6,583,796.16 | 7,011,742.91 | 7,467,506.20 | 7,952,894.10 | 8,191,480.93 |
| Payout Ratio | 22.69% | 36.15% | 49.61% | 63.07% | 76.54% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,316,794.00 | 2,234,662.77 | 3,266,291.02 | 4,422,589.50 | 5,715,406.70 | 7,157,604.69 | 7,577,119.86 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 2,068,192.81 | 2,087,796.53 | 2,107,400.25 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,797,775.98 | 2,851,065.76 | 2,904,858.26 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 3,506,014.60 | 3,606,659.68 | 3,709,212.67 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 4,193,370.73 | 4,354,635.94 | 4,520,508.38 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 4,860,297.57 | 5,095,051.76 | 5,338,790.55 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 127,528,897.12 | 133,688,590.54 | 140,084,029.92 |
| Equity Value (M) | 144,954,548.82 | 151,683,800.21 | 158,664,800.03 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 371.50 | 371.50 | 371.50 |
| Fair Value | $390,191.94 | $408,305.89 | $427,097.50 |
| Upside / Downside | 237.83% | 253.51% | 269.78% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |