Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $831,074.52 - $2,416,309.77 | $2,264,436.12 |
| Multi-Stage | $333,380.67 - $364,777.61 | $348,791.28 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,306,613.70 | |
| Current Price | $156,600.00 | |
| Upside | 734.36% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 8.73% | 13.54% | 4,026.46 | 3,326.47 | 3,300.35 | 2,499.98 | 2,649.98 | 2,649.98 | 1,999.99 | 1,420.11 | 2,484.16 | 1,895.21 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 21.04% | 0.79% | 32.01% | -5.66% | 0.00% | 32.50% | 40.83% | -42.83% | 31.08% | 67.58% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.86% | 3.64% | 5.26% | 3.79% | 3.39% | 6.16% | 2.38% | 1.22% | 2.29% | 1.61% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,181,829.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 866,715.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,315,114.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 436,365.80 | 272,728.63 | 163,637.18 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,315,114.00 | 1,315,114.00 | 1,315,114.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -436,365.80 | -272,728.63 | -163,637.18 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 878,748.20 | 1,042,385.38 | 1,151,476.83 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 179.58 | 179.58 | 179.58 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 4,893.46 | 5,804.70 | 6,412.20 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 4,826.45 | 4,826.45 | 4,826.45 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 4,893.46 | 5,804.70 | 6,412.20 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 9,719.91 | 10,631.16 | 11,238.65 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.73% | 6.73% | 6.73% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $831,074.52 | $2,264,436.12 | $2,416,309.77 |
| Upside / Downside | 430.70% | 1,346.00% | 1,442.98% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,181,829.00 | 2,323,647.89 | 2,474,685.00 | 2,635,539.52 | 2,806,849.59 | 2,989,294.81 | 3,078,973.66 |
| Payout Ratio | 39.72% | 49.78% | 59.83% | 69.89% | 79.94% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 866,715.00 | 1,156,697.80 | 1,480,716.49 | 1,841,970.57 | 2,243,931.64 | 2,690,365.33 | 2,848,050.63 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.73% | 6.73% | 6.73% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,073,545.46 | 1,083,721.25 | 1,093,897.04 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,275,478.01 | 1,299,772.29 | 1,324,295.75 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,472,598.26 | 1,514,871.26 | 1,557,945.62 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,664,990.46 | 1,729,021.30 | 1,794,881.45 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,852,737.61 | 1,942,225.53 | 2,035,138.36 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 52,527,817.75 | 55,064,930.99 | 57,699,145.52 |
| Equity Value (M) | 59,867,167.56 | 62,634,542.61 | 65,505,303.75 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 179.58 | 179.58 | 179.58 |
| Fair Value | $333,380.67 | $348,791.28 | $364,777.61 |
| Upside / Downside | 112.89% | 122.73% | 132.94% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |