Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $196,817.51 - $467,226.91 | $437,860.04 |
| Multi-Stage | $68,034.34 - $74,502.48 | $71,208.85 |
| Blended Fair Value | $254,534.45 | |
| Current Price | $20,050.00 | |
| Upside | 1,169.50% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 57.50% | 80.86% | 515.57 | 573.24 | 286.56 | 93.97 | 0.02 | 53.19 | 19.50 | 14.56 | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -10.06% | 100.04% | 204.96% | 384,772.00% | -99.95% | 172.77% | 33.93% | 957.45% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.64% | 3.61% | 1.41% | 0.32% | 0.00% | 1.72% | 0.53% | 0.33% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,405,633.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 549,368.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,856,265.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 481,126.60 | 300,704.13 | 180,422.48 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,856,265.00 | 1,856,265.00 | 1,856,265.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -481,126.60 | -300,704.13 | -180,422.48 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,375,138.40 | 1,555,560.88 | 1,675,842.53 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,023.96 | 1,023.96 | 1,023.96 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1,342.96 | 1,519.17 | 1,636.63 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 536.51 | 536.51 | 536.51 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1,342.96 | 1,519.17 | 1,636.63 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1,879.48 | 2,055.68 | 2,173.15 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.51% | 6.51% | 6.51% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $196,817.51 | $437,860.04 | $467,226.91 |
| Upside / Downside | 881.63% | 2,083.84% | 2,230.31% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,405,633.00 | 2,561,999.15 | 2,728,529.09 | 2,905,883.48 | 3,094,765.91 | 3,295,925.69 | 3,394,803.46 |
| Payout Ratio | 22.84% | 36.27% | 49.70% | 63.13% | 76.57% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 549,368.00 | 929,221.38 | 1,356,134.62 | 1,834,620.63 | 2,369,580.14 | 2,966,333.12 | 3,140,193.20 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.51% | 6.51% | 6.51% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 864,255.26 | 872,447.26 | 880,639.25 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,173,136.32 | 1,195,481.27 | 1,218,037.02 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,476,096.62 | 1,518,470.05 | 1,561,646.74 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,773,220.54 | 1,841,413.60 | 1,911,554.88 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,064,591.38 | 2,164,311.92 | 2,267,849.00 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 62,312,941.04 | 65,322,679.40 | 68,447,607.52 |
| Equity Value (M) | 69,664,241.17 | 72,914,803.49 | 76,287,334.41 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,023.96 | 1,023.96 | 1,023.96 |
| Fair Value | $68,034.34 | $71,208.85 | $74,502.48 |
| Upside / Downside | 239.32% | 255.16% | 271.58% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |