Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $30,878.29 - $46,398.72 | $38,223.58 |
| Multi-Stage | $71,421.63 - $78,768.53 | $75,021.94 |
| Blended Fair Value | $56,622.76 | |
| Current Price | $19,840.00 | |
| Upside | 185.40% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -6.16% | -0.78% | 254.68 | 400.36 | 499.94 | 656.16 | 451.35 | 349.96 | 308.26 | 343.31 | 260.09 | 260.09 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -36.39% | -19.92% | -23.81% | 45.38% | 28.97% | 13.53% | -10.21% | 32.00% | 0.00% | -5.60% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.83% | 1.76% | 1.70% | 1.63% | 0.88% | 1.00% | 1.19% | 1.05% | 0.70% | 0.57% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 41,131.13 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 7,373.99 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 33,757.14 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 8,226.23 | 5,141.39 | 3,084.83 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 33,757.14 | 33,757.14 | 33,757.14 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -8,226.23 | -5,141.39 | -3,084.83 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 25,530.91 | 28,615.75 | 30,672.30 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 11.12 | 11.12 | 11.12 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 2,295.84 | 2,573.24 | 2,758.18 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 663.10 | 663.10 | 663.10 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 2,295.84 | 2,573.24 | 2,758.18 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2,958.94 | 3,236.34 | 3,421.28 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.53% | 6.53% | 6.53% |
| Growth Rate | -2.78% | -1.78% | -0.78% |
| Fair Value | $30,878.29 | $38,223.58 | $46,398.72 |
| Upside / Downside | 55.64% | 92.66% | 133.86% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 41,131.13 | 40,397.71 | 39,677.36 | 38,969.87 | 38,274.98 | 37,592.49 | 38,720.26 |
| Payout Ratio | 17.93% | 32.34% | 46.76% | 61.17% | 75.59% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 7,373.99 | 13,065.59 | 18,551.87 | 23,838.34 | 28,930.38 | 33,833.24 | 35,816.24 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.53% | 6.53% | 6.53% |
| Growth Rate | -2.78% | -1.78% | -0.78% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 12,139.52 | 12,264.39 | 12,389.26 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 16,015.20 | 16,346.37 | 16,680.92 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 19,120.22 | 19,716.34 | 20,324.72 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 21,559.73 | 22,460.59 | 23,389.39 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 23,426.39 | 24,656.28 | 25,937.30 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 701,983.14 | 738,837.55 | 777,223.85 |
| Equity Value (M) | 794,244.20 | 834,281.52 | 875,945.45 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 11.12 | 11.12 | 11.12 |
| Fair Value | $71,421.63 | $75,021.94 | $78,768.53 |
| Upside / Downside | 259.99% | 278.13% | 297.02% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |