Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $771,096.97 - $1,023,940.41 | $902,335.75 |
| Multi-Stage | $1,333,289.70 - $1,474,411.87 | $1,402,392.88 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,152,364.31 | |
| Current Price | $850,000.00 | |
| Upside | 35.57% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -33.22% | -15.87% | 1,749.99 | 1,749.97 | 1,749.97 | 1,549.97 | 1,549.97 | 13,180.11 | 8,109.34 | 7,913.14 | 7,912.53 | 7,385.66 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.90% | 0.00% | -88.24% | 62.53% | 2.48% | 0.01% | 7.13% | -25.02% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.26% | 0.24% | 0.24% | 0.15% | 0.17% | 2.10% | 0.50% | 0.63% | 0.87% | 0.79% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 160,184.19 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,472.81 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 158,711.38 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 32,036.84 | 20,023.02 | 12,013.81 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 158,711.38 | 158,711.38 | 158,711.38 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -32,036.84 | -20,023.02 | -12,013.81 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 126,674.54 | 138,688.36 | 146,697.57 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 150,512.93 | 164,787.58 | 174,304.01 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1,749.97 | 1,749.97 | 1,749.97 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 150,512.93 | 164,787.58 | 174,304.01 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 152,262.90 | 166,537.55 | 176,053.98 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.96% | 9.96% | 9.96% |
| Growth Rate | -8.17% | -7.17% | -6.17% |
| Fair Value | $771,096.97 | $902,335.75 | $1,023,940.41 |
| Upside / Downside | -9.28% | 6.16% | 20.46% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 160,184.19 | 148,693.66 | 138,027.38 | 128,126.22 | 118,935.31 | 110,403.70 | 113,715.81 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.92% | 18.74% | 36.55% | 54.37% | 72.18% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,472.81 | 27,858.58 | 50,451.31 | 69,659.38 | 85,852.14 | 99,363.33 | 105,187.12 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.96% | 9.96% | 9.96% |
| Growth Rate | -8.17% | -7.17% | -6.17% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 25,062.49 | 25,335.42 | 25,608.36 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 40,832.21 | 41,726.38 | 42,630.24 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 50,719.53 | 52,394.66 | 54,106.27 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 56,235.68 | 58,725.63 | 61,297.36 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 58,553.41 | 61,811.86 | 65,213.80 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 890,718.64 | 940,286.54 | 992,037.01 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,122,121.95 | 1,180,280.49 | 1,240,893.04 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| Fair Value | $1,333,289.70 | $1,402,392.88 | $1,474,411.87 |
| Upside / Downside | 56.86% | 64.99% | 73.46% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |