Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Financial Statements
Periods / Units
Fundamentals
Valuations
Miscellaneous
Analysis Mode
Full Access
See Pricing Start Trial

Origin Energy Limited (ORG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas IntegratedSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.81 - $260.04$94.11
Multi-Stage$43.47 - $47.57$45.49
Blended Fair Value$69.80
Current Price$10.79
Upside546.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.84%6.12%0.570.470.330.180.200.280.100.000.000.24
YoY Growth--21.00%44.19%81.47%-8.21%-28.21%187.88%8,150.00%0.00%-99.52%-23.58%
Dividend Yield--5.32%4.34%3.91%3.16%4.38%4.71%1.29%0.01%0.02%4.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,878.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,810.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,068.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)575.60359.75215.85
Cash Retained (M)1,068.001,068.001,068.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-575.60-359.75-215.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)492.40708.25852.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,726.401,726.401,726.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.410.49
LTM Dividend per Share1.051.051.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.410.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Fair Value$52.81$94.11$260.04
Upside / Downside389.47%772.23%2,310.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,878.003,025.433,180.423,343.353,514.623,694.663,805.50
Payout Ratio62.89%68.31%73.73%79.16%84.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,810.002,066.762,345.072,646.472,972.603,325.203,520.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Year 1 PV (M)1,917.621,936.031,954.45
Year 2 PV (M)2,018.832,057.802,097.13
Year 3 PV (M)2,113.902,175.392,238.07
Year 4 PV (M)2,203.062,288.922,377.27
Year 5 PV (M)2,286.552,398.482,514.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)64,512.5667,670.5570,951.01
Equity Value (M)75,052.5278,527.1782,132.68
Shares Outstanding (M)1,726.401,726.401,726.40
Fair Value$43.47$45.49$47.57
Upside / Downside302.90%321.56%340.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 17 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
PBY-UN.TOCanso Credit Trust - Canso Credit Income Fund6.89%$1.1043.72%
002267.SZShaanxi Provincial Natural Gas Co.,Ltd6.88%$0.5285.38%
0590.HKLuk Fook Holdings (International) Limited6.88%$1.6433.93%
0QPD.LAllreal Holding AG6.88%$14.0066.23%
8967.TJapan Logistics Fund, Inc.6.88%$7,165.6791.03%
3356.TWGeoVision Inc.6.87%$3.2561.01%
OPUS.BDOPUS GLOBAL Nyrt.6.87%$37.7385.10%
INK.WAInstal Kraków S.A.6.86%$2.5241.25%
NLB.ILNova Ljubljanska Banka d.d.6.86%$2.4749.72%
0148.HKKingboard Holdings Limited6.85%$2.0345.96%
3592.TWRaydium Semiconductor Corporation6.85%$15.1468.63%
ABEV3.SAAmbev S.A.6.85%$0.9391.30%
ETER3.SAEternit S.A.6.85%$0.2835.41%
HTC-R.BKHaad Thip Public Company Limited6.85%$1.0269.98%
PBAPembina Pipeline Corporation6.85%$2.6486.47%
2527.TWHung Ching Development & Construction Co., Ltd.6.84%$2.0048.52%
3466.TLaSalle LOGIPORT REIT6.84%$10,849.3675.97%
KLINIQ.BKThe Klinique Medical Clinic Public Company Limited6.82%$1.4690.74%
LPF.BKLotus's Retail Growth Freehold and Leasehold Property Fund6.82%$0.7383.53%
CLWTEuro Tech Holdings Company Limited6.81%$0.0824.63%
TMD.BKThai Metal Drum Manufacturing Public Company Limited6.80%$1.7775.56%
FID.AXFiducian Group Ltd6.79%$0.7974.24%
NNND.FTencent Holdings Limited6.79%$4.6820.82%
RIC.AXRidley Corporation Limited6.79%$0.1867.95%
8961.TMORI TRUST Sogo Reit, Inc.6.78%$5,291.8468.53%
CENCOSHOPP.SNCencosud Shopping S.A.6.78%$94.9375.52%
COVH.PACovivio Hotels6.78%$1.5487.52%
FLOYD.BKFloyd Public Company Limited6.78%$0.0834.43%
ALGIR.PASignaux Girod S.A.6.77%$1.0032.73%
0144.HKChina Merchants Port Holdings Company Limited6.76%$1.0329.79%
0512.HKGrand Pharmaceutical Group Limited6.76%$0.5341.13%
TOG.BKThai Optical Group Public Company Limited6.76%$0.4566.31%
SSF.BKSurapon Foods Public Company Limited6.75%$0.3466.42%
0RU6.LSpareBank 1 Ostlandet6.74%$13.9853.75%
2313.HKShenzhou International Group Holdings Limited6.74%$4.1853.04%
600188.SSYankuang Energy Group Company Limited6.74%$0.8977.55%
0QO2.LBurkhalter Holding AG6.73%$9.3188.33%
82331.HKLi Ning Company Limited6.73%$1.1350.46%
TBR.AXTribune Resources Limited6.73%$0.4055.86%
200512.SZTsann Kuen (China) Enterprise Co., Ltd.6.72%$0.2174.88%
C07.SIJardine Cycle & Carriage Limited6.72%$2.2847.91%
GISS.QAGulf International Services Q.P.S.C.6.72%$0.1745.22%
MELG.OLMelhus Sparebank6.72%$13.5025.36%
SGP.AXStockland6.72%$0.3982.32%
UNI.AXUniversal Store Holdings Limited6.72%$0.5481.02%
0R6M.LIntershop Holding AG6.71%$11.0031.38%
CEEB3.SACompanhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA6.71%$3.0237.99%
017940.KSE1 Corporation6.70%$5,410.2182.17%
3080.SREastern Province Cement Company6.70%$1.6056.11%
CNQCanadian Natural Resources Limited6.70%$2.3071.45%