Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $30,854.73 - $111,321.37 | $98,205.37 |
| Multi-Stage | $14,471.16 - $15,812.82 | $15,129.78 |
| Blended Fair Value | $56,667.57 | |
| Current Price | $4,120.00 | |
| Upside | 1,275.43% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 22.74% | 14.43% | 280.46 | 196.50 | 73.09 | 22.00 | 103.18 | 100.70 | 127.85 | 106.46 | 60.81 | 72.31 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 42.73% | 168.84% | 232.23% | -78.68% | 2.46% | -21.23% | 20.09% | 75.07% | -15.91% | -0.76% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.61% | 3.48% | 1.56% | 0.53% | 3.60% | 5.27% | 2.72% | 2.45% | 1.88% | 2.78% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 20,866,036.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 13,951,339.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 6,914,697.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 4,173,207.20 | 2,608,254.50 | 1,564,952.70 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 6,914,697.00 | 6,914,697.00 | 6,914,697.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -4,173,207.20 | -2,608,254.50 | -1,564,952.70 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 2,741,489.80 | 4,306,442.50 | 5,349,744.30 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 37,277.06 | 37,277.06 | 37,277.06 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 73.54 | 115.53 | 143.51 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 374.26 | 374.26 | 374.26 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 73.54 | 115.53 | 143.51 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 447.80 | 489.79 | 517.77 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $30,854.73 | $98,205.37 | $111,321.37 |
| Upside / Downside | 648.90% | 2,283.63% | 2,601.98% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 20,866,036.00 | 22,222,328.34 | 23,666,779.68 | 25,205,120.36 | 26,843,453.18 | 28,588,277.64 | 29,445,925.97 |
| Payout Ratio | 66.86% | 71.49% | 76.12% | 80.74% | 85.37% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 13,951,339.00 | 15,886,559.93 | 18,014,415.17 | 20,351,770.88 | 22,916,871.93 | 25,729,449.88 | 27,237,481.52 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 14,703,560.32 | 14,842,930.56 | 14,982,300.80 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 15,431,404.38 | 15,725,329.29 | 16,022,027.07 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 16,135,414.69 | 16,598,604.46 | 17,070,574.82 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 16,816,124.21 | 17,462,824.89 | 18,128,001.36 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 17,474,055.54 | 18,318,058.96 | 19,194,364.37 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 458,881,687.43 | 481,045,844.51 | 504,058,276.06 |
| Equity Value (M) | 539,442,246.57 | 563,993,592.68 | 589,455,544.49 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 37,277.06 | 37,277.06 | 37,277.06 |
| Fair Value | $14,471.16 | $15,129.78 | $15,812.82 |
| Upside / Downside | 251.24% | 267.23% | 283.81% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. | 2.27% | $0.77 | 24.18% |
| UTMD | Utah Medical Products, Inc. | 2.27% | $1.28 | 35.35% |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | 2.26% | $4.52 | 38.61% |
| EML | The Eastern Company | 2.26% | $0.44 | 37.05% |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida | 2.26% | $0.71 | 43.09% |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | 2.26% | $1.45 | 35.88% |
| 0JYA.L | Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 2.25% | $3.72 | 74.60% |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 2.25% | $0.80 | 29.79% |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | 2.25% | $6.56 | 78.75% |
| 0KYZ.L | SBA Communications Corporation | 2.24% | $4.32 | 54.40% |
| BPOP | Popular, Inc. | 2.24% | $2.82 | 24.06% |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp. | 2.24% | $0.23 | 12.50% |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | 2.24% | $4.07 | 40.12% |
| FXNC | First National Corporation | 2.23% | $0.55 | 86.28% |
| BAC | Bank of America Corporation | 2.22% | $1.24 | 31.97% |
| SSB | SouthState Corporation | 2.22% | $2.09 | 30.58% |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.77 | 20.42% |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.41 | 37.79% |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank Group, Inc. | 2.21% | $0.93 | 26.22% |
| CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | 2.20% | $1.34 | 76.25% |
| NHI | National Health Investors, Inc. | 2.20% | $1.69 | 54.58% |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 2.20% | $0.73 | 15.58% |
| BANC | Banc of California, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.43 | 32.44% |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.87 | 26.66% |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 2.19% | $2.09 | 57.31% |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | 2.18% | $0.60 | 45.15% |
| FDS | FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2.18% | $6.20 | 39.64% |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank Corporation | 2.18% | $1.10 | 44.52% |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 2.18% | $1.64 | 37.28% |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services Corp | 2.17% | $1.17 | 22.34% |
| ETH | Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust | 2.17% | $0.64 | 34.57% |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings Corporation | 2.17% | $0.32 | 36.19% |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.56 | 20.21% |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 2.16% | $0.48 | 26.89% |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.09 | 5.60% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 2.16% | $6.42 | 31.02% |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.12 | 26.40% |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Company | 2.15% | $1.20 | 35.55% |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings Inc. | 2.15% | $0.73 | 28.46% |
| NATH | Nathan's Famous, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.98 | 35.76% |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands, Inc. | 2.15% | $0.62 | 22.50% |
| BDX | Becton, Dickinson and Company | 2.14% | $4.17 | 71.28% |
| CI | Cigna Corporation | 2.14% | $5.96 | 26.01% |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial Services, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.15 | 18.19% |
| JBSS | John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.49 | 26.50% |
| JNPR | Juniper Networks, Inc. | 2.14% | $0.86 | 82.37% |
| POOL | Pool Corporation | 2.14% | $4.92 | 44.68% |
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.62 | 62.56% |
| CSTR | CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. | 2.13% | $0.43 | 30.48% |
| HTLF | Heartland Financial USA, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.38 | 69.73% |