Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $25,472.95 - $91,921.66 | $81,047.33 |
| Multi-Stage | $11,930.88 - $13,037.98 | $12,474.35 |
| Blended Fair Value | $46,760.84 | |
| Current Price | $8,675.00 | |
| Upside | 439.03% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 31.34% | 27.21% | 277.51 | 212.51 | 155.01 | 111.40 | 110.60 | 71.00 | 52.00 | 42.00 | 35.00 | 30.60 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 30.59% | 37.10% | 39.14% | 0.72% | 55.77% | 36.54% | 23.81% | 20.00% | 14.38% | 22.40% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.26% | 2.16% | 1.77% | 1.40% | 1.78% | 1.29% | 0.95% | 0.90% | 1.06% | 1.15% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 56,976,535.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 36,982,515.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 19,994,020.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 11,395,307.00 | 7,122,066.88 | 4,273,240.13 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 19,994,020.00 | 19,994,020.00 | 19,994,020.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -11,395,307.00 | -7,122,066.88 | -4,273,240.13 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 8,598,713.00 | 12,871,953.13 | 15,720,779.88 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 123,270.28 | 123,270.28 | 123,270.28 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 69.75 | 104.42 | 127.53 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 300.01 | 300.01 | 300.01 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 69.75 | 104.42 | 127.53 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 369.77 | 404.43 | 427.54 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $25,472.95 | $81,047.33 | $91,921.66 |
| Upside / Downside | 193.64% | 834.26% | 959.62% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 56,976,535.00 | 60,680,009.78 | 64,624,210.41 | 68,824,784.09 | 73,298,395.05 | 78,062,790.73 | 80,404,674.45 |
| Payout Ratio | 64.91% | 69.93% | 74.94% | 79.96% | 84.98% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 36,982,515.00 | 42,431,504.54 | 48,432,611.59 | 55,034,589.46 | 62,290,196.66 | 70,256,511.66 | 74,374,323.87 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 39,271,718.21 | 39,643,961.98 | 40,016,205.76 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 41,487,840.61 | 42,278,067.44 | 43,075,749.25 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 43,632,504.87 | 44,885,037.28 | 46,161,313.68 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 45,707,302.18 | 47,465,076.03 | 49,273,068.25 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 47,713,792.82 | 50,018,386.86 | 52,411,183.13 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,252,909,995.42 | 1,313,426,016.69 | 1,376,258,128.53 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,470,723,154.11 | 1,537,716,546.29 | 1,607,195,648.60 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 123,270.28 | 123,270.28 | 123,270.28 |
| Fair Value | $11,930.88 | $12,474.35 | $13,037.98 |
| Upside / Downside | 37.53% | 43.80% | 50.29% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. | 2.27% | $0.77 | 24.18% |
| UTMD | Utah Medical Products, Inc. | 2.27% | $1.28 | 35.35% |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | 2.26% | $4.52 | 38.61% |
| EML | The Eastern Company | 2.26% | $0.44 | 37.05% |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida | 2.26% | $0.71 | 43.09% |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | 2.26% | $1.45 | 35.88% |
| 0JYA.L | Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 2.25% | $3.72 | 74.60% |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 2.25% | $0.80 | 29.79% |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | 2.25% | $6.56 | 78.75% |
| 0KYZ.L | SBA Communications Corporation | 2.24% | $4.32 | 54.40% |
| BPOP | Popular, Inc. | 2.24% | $2.82 | 24.06% |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp. | 2.24% | $0.23 | 12.50% |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | 2.24% | $4.07 | 40.12% |
| FXNC | First National Corporation | 2.23% | $0.55 | 86.28% |
| BAC | Bank of America Corporation | 2.22% | $1.24 | 31.97% |
| SSB | SouthState Corporation | 2.22% | $2.09 | 30.58% |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.77 | 20.42% |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.41 | 37.79% |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank Group, Inc. | 2.21% | $0.93 | 26.22% |
| CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | 2.20% | $1.34 | 76.25% |
| NHI | National Health Investors, Inc. | 2.20% | $1.69 | 54.58% |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 2.20% | $0.73 | 15.58% |
| BANC | Banc of California, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.43 | 32.44% |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.87 | 26.66% |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 2.19% | $2.09 | 57.31% |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | 2.18% | $0.60 | 45.15% |
| FDS | FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2.18% | $6.20 | 39.64% |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank Corporation | 2.18% | $1.10 | 44.52% |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 2.18% | $1.64 | 37.28% |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services Corp | 2.17% | $1.17 | 22.34% |
| ETH | Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust | 2.17% | $0.64 | 34.57% |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings Corporation | 2.17% | $0.32 | 36.19% |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.56 | 20.21% |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 2.16% | $0.48 | 26.89% |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.09 | 5.60% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 2.16% | $6.42 | 31.02% |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.12 | 26.40% |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Company | 2.15% | $1.20 | 35.55% |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings Inc. | 2.15% | $0.73 | 28.46% |
| NATH | Nathan's Famous, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.98 | 35.76% |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands, Inc. | 2.15% | $0.62 | 22.50% |
| BDX | Becton, Dickinson and Company | 2.14% | $4.17 | 71.28% |
| CI | Cigna Corporation | 2.14% | $5.96 | 26.01% |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial Services, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.15 | 18.19% |
| JBSS | John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.49 | 26.50% |
| JNPR | Juniper Networks, Inc. | 2.14% | $0.86 | 82.37% |
| POOL | Pool Corporation | 2.14% | $4.92 | 44.68% |
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.62 | 62.56% |
| CSTR | CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. | 2.13% | $0.43 | 30.48% |
| HTLF | Heartland Financial USA, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.38 | 69.73% |