Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Air Lease Corporation (AL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$213.47 - $566.27$326.41
Multi-Stage$143.60 - $157.03$150.19
Blended Fair Value$238.30
Current Price$63.65
Upside274.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.01%22.54%0.830.790.740.650.610.520.370.280.180.15
YoY Growth--5.28%6.65%14.04%7.07%17.50%39.61%34.36%50.49%25.30%33.99%
Dividend Yield--1.73%1.55%1.89%1.46%1.24%2.34%1.05%0.65%0.47%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,020.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)923.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)204.08127.5576.53
Cash Retained (M)923.31923.31923.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-204.08-127.55-76.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)719.23795.76846.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)112.13112.13112.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.417.107.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.870.870.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.417.107.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.287.968.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$213.47$326.41$566.27
Upside / Downside235.38%412.83%789.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,020.381,086.701,157.341,232.561,312.681,398.001,439.94
Payout Ratio9.51%25.61%41.71%57.81%73.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.07278.31482.70712.49970.101,258.201,331.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)252.70255.10257.49
Year 2 PV (M)397.97405.55413.20
Year 3 PV (M)533.38548.69564.29
Year 4 PV (M)659.42684.78710.86
Year 5 PV (M)776.57814.08853.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,481.2514,132.4014,808.47
Equity Value (M)16,101.2916,840.5917,607.34
Shares Outstanding (M)112.13112.13112.13
Fair Value$143.60$150.19$157.03
Upside / Downside125.61%135.97%146.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 16 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
HWBKHawthorn Bancshares, Inc.2.27%$0.7724.18%
UTMDUtah Medical Products, Inc.2.27%$1.2835.35%
DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.2.26%$4.5238.61%
EMLThe Eastern Company2.26%$0.4437.05%
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corporation of Florida2.26%$0.7143.09%
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.2.26%$1.4535.88%
0JYA.LMarathon Petroleum Corporation2.25%$3.7274.60%
FSBCFive Star Bancorp2.25%$0.8029.79%
IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation2.25%$6.5678.75%
0KYZ.LSBA Communications Corporation2.24%$4.3254.40%
BPOPPopular, Inc.2.24%$2.8224.06%
MFINMedallion Financial Corp.2.24%$0.2312.50%
MSMorgan Stanley2.24%$4.0740.12%
FXNCFirst National Corporation2.23%$0.5586.28%
BACBank of America Corporation2.22%$1.2431.97%
SSBSouthState Corporation2.22%$2.0930.58%
VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.2.22%$0.7720.42%
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.2.22%$0.4137.79%
CCBGCapital City Bank Group, Inc.2.21%$0.9326.22%
CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.2.20%$1.3476.25%
NHINational Health Investors, Inc.2.20%$1.6954.58%
VNOVornado Realty Trust2.20%$0.7315.58%
BANCBanc of California, Inc.2.19%$0.4332.44%
EBTCEnterprise Bancorp, Inc.2.19%$0.8726.66%
RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.2.19%$2.0957.31%
CDPCOPT Defense Properties2.18%$0.6045.15%
FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.2.18%$6.2039.64%
ISBAIsabella Bank Corporation2.18%$1.1044.52%
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.2.18%$1.6437.28%
EFSCEnterprise Financial Services Corp2.17%$1.1722.34%
ETHGrayscale Ethereum Mini Trust2.17%$0.6434.57%
SEMSelect Medical Holdings Corporation2.17%$0.3236.19%
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares, Inc.2.16%$0.5620.21%
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares2.16%$0.4826.89%
EHTHeHealth, Inc.2.16%$0.095.60%
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation2.16%$6.4231.02%
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.2.15%$1.1226.40%
COLMColumbia Sportswear Company2.15%$1.2035.55%
HTHHilltop Holdings Inc.2.15%$0.7328.46%
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.2.15%$1.9835.76%
RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.2.15%$0.6222.50%
BDXBecton, Dickinson and Company2.14%$4.1771.28%
CICigna Corporation2.14%$5.9626.01%
FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc.2.14%$1.1518.19%
JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.2.14%$1.4926.50%
JNPRJuniper Networks, Inc.2.14%$0.8682.37%
POOLPool Corporation2.14%$4.9244.68%
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.2.13%$1.6262.56%
CSTRCapStar Financial Holdings, Inc.2.13%$0.4330.48%
HTLFHeartland Financial USA, Inc.2.13%$1.3869.73%