Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Great China Metal Ind. Co., Ltd. (9905.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.48 - $22.87$18.32
Multi-Stage$33.30 - $36.61$34.92
Blended Fair Value$26.62
Current Price$22.90
Upside16.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.92%-5.80%1.091.191.491.491.001.001.691.491.491.99
YoY Growth---8.33%-20.00%0.00%50.00%0.00%-41.18%13.33%0.00%-25.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.69%4.97%5.90%5.52%3.95%5.03%6.77%5.65%5.72%7.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)446.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)335.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)110.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.2655.7833.47
Cash Retained (M)110.78110.78110.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.26-55.78-33.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.5254.9977.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)306.49306.49306.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.180.25
LTM Dividend per Share1.091.091.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.180.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.161.271.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-1.60%-0.60%0.40%
Fair Value$14.48$18.32$22.87
Upside / Downside-36.75%-20.01%-0.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)446.28443.60440.93438.28435.65433.03446.02
Payout Ratio75.18%78.14%81.11%84.07%87.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)335.50346.63357.62368.47379.17389.73412.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-1.60%-0.60%0.40%
Year 1 PV (M)322.77326.05329.33
Year 2 PV (M)310.08316.41322.81
Year 3 PV (M)297.49306.65316.00
Year 4 PV (M)285.05296.82308.95
Year 5 PV (M)272.82286.97301.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,718.779,170.909,641.59
Equity Value (M)10,206.9910,703.8111,220.38
Shares Outstanding (M)306.49306.49306.49
Fair Value$33.30$34.92$36.61
Upside / Downside45.43%52.51%59.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 16 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
HWBKHawthorn Bancshares, Inc.2.27%$0.7724.18%
UTMDUtah Medical Products, Inc.2.27%$1.2835.35%
DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.2.26%$4.5238.61%
EMLThe Eastern Company2.26%$0.4437.05%
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corporation of Florida2.26%$0.7143.09%
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.2.26%$1.4535.88%
0JYA.LMarathon Petroleum Corporation2.25%$3.7274.60%
FSBCFive Star Bancorp2.25%$0.8029.79%
IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation2.25%$6.5678.75%
0KYZ.LSBA Communications Corporation2.24%$4.3254.40%
BPOPPopular, Inc.2.24%$2.8224.06%
MFINMedallion Financial Corp.2.24%$0.2312.50%
MSMorgan Stanley2.24%$4.0740.12%
FXNCFirst National Corporation2.23%$0.5586.28%
BACBank of America Corporation2.22%$1.2431.97%
SSBSouthState Corporation2.22%$2.0930.58%
VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.2.22%$0.7720.42%
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.2.22%$0.4137.79%
CCBGCapital City Bank Group, Inc.2.21%$0.9326.22%
CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.2.20%$1.3476.25%
NHINational Health Investors, Inc.2.20%$1.6954.58%
VNOVornado Realty Trust2.20%$0.7315.58%
BANCBanc of California, Inc.2.19%$0.4332.44%
EBTCEnterprise Bancorp, Inc.2.19%$0.8726.66%
RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.2.19%$2.0957.31%
CDPCOPT Defense Properties2.18%$0.6045.15%
FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.2.18%$6.2039.64%
ISBAIsabella Bank Corporation2.18%$1.1044.52%
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.2.18%$1.6437.28%
EFSCEnterprise Financial Services Corp2.17%$1.1722.34%
ETHGrayscale Ethereum Mini Trust2.17%$0.6434.57%
SEMSelect Medical Holdings Corporation2.17%$0.3236.19%
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares, Inc.2.16%$0.5620.21%
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares2.16%$0.4826.89%
EHTHeHealth, Inc.2.16%$0.095.60%
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation2.16%$6.4231.02%
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.2.15%$1.1226.40%
COLMColumbia Sportswear Company2.15%$1.2035.55%
HTHHilltop Holdings Inc.2.15%$0.7328.46%
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.2.15%$1.9835.76%
RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.2.15%$0.6222.50%
BDXBecton, Dickinson and Company2.14%$4.1771.28%
CICigna Corporation2.14%$5.9626.01%
FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc.2.14%$1.1518.19%
JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.2.14%$1.4926.50%
JNPRJuniper Networks, Inc.2.14%$0.8682.37%
POOLPool Corporation2.14%$4.9244.68%
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.2.13%$1.6262.56%
CSTRCapStar Financial Holdings, Inc.2.13%$0.4330.48%
HTLFHeartland Financial USA, Inc.2.13%$1.3869.73%